The School of Odds

Bragantino-SP v Coritiba

2026-07-26 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Bragantino-SP (Local)

Prediction 55.94%1.79fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -6.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.34%55.99%55.84%57.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.541.651.671.7165%61%60%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Coritiba (Visit)

Prediction 18.90%5.29fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.551%
Kelly -0.684%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.15%18.82%18.89%20.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.204.784.805.1424%21%21%19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.16%3.97fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -0.815%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.36%25.18%25.27%26.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.623.673.8530%28%27%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.06%EV -4.35%E -2.54%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.65%EV -2.83%E -0.551%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.29%EV -4.65%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 16:14
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.91%E -2.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.14%E -0.815%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 15:54
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.47%E -3.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -4.40%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-17 15:29
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.45%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%EV -3.59%E -0.704%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -4.40%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 15:19
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -6.42%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 15:19
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -6.42%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 15:24
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.93%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.48%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.38%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 16:14
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -10.20%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 15:25
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -13.04%E -2.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 15:24
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.26%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 15:29
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.26%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 15:29
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.26%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 15:29
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.26%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 15:29
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.75%EV -7.14%E -4.30%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.37%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.17%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 19:09
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -7.70%E -4.67%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -9.26%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -6.91%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 19:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.20%E -2.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-17 15:24
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -9.94%E -6.18%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -3.59%E -0.704%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -4.40%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 15:22
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 54.34%EV -10.50%E -6.56%K -17.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.08%EV -18.14%E -4.19%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-17 15:24
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.23%EV -11.62%E -7.35%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.83%EV -16.82%E -3.82%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-17 19:09
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.39%EV -12.74%E -8.17%K -22.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -14.93%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -14.46%E -4.25%K -6.02%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-17 19:09
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.26%EV -12.74%E -8.17%K -22.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -14.93%E -3.32%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 25.58%EV -15.21%E -4.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-17 19:08
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 54.75%EV -13.86%E -9.00%K -25.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.08%EV -20.60%E -4.91%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.17%EV -15.72%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-17 19:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 54.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.47%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.96%16.7%2026-07-17 19:15