语言:简体中文
Bragantino-SP v Chapecoense
胜负盘
Bragantino-SP (主队)
预测 72.98%1.37公平赔率
EV -5.13%
优势 -3.94%
Kelly -17.09%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.30
博彩公司预测分布
72.92%72.98%72.98%75.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.231.261.251.3081.30%79.59%79.68%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
Chapecoense (客队)
预测 10.73%9.32公平赔率
EV +12.69%
优势 +1.21%
Kelly +1.34%
增长率 +0.169%
假设最高赔率为 10.50
博彩公司预测分布
9.33%10.73%10.73%10.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.509.189.2510.5011.76%10.89%10.81%9.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 16.29%6.14公平赔率
EV +4.25%
优势 +0.665%
Kelly +0.788%
增长率 +0.034%
假设最高赔率为 6.40
博彩公司预测分布
15.31%16.29%16.29%16.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.505.765.786.4018.18%17.36%17.32%15.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Bragantino-SP (主队)：72.98%；Chapecoense (客队)：10.73%；平局：16.29%。 对于“Chapecoense (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.32。 有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为10.50，由此产生+12.69%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (14 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.36%EV -5.13%E -3.94%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33%EV +12.69%E +1.21%K +1.34%G +0.169% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%EV +4.25%E +0.665%K +0.788%G +0.034% | 2.1% | 2026-10-18 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.36%EV -5.13%E -3.94%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33%EV +12.69%E +1.21%K +1.34%G +0.169% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%EV +4.25%E +0.665%K +0.788%G +0.034% | 2.1% | 2026-10-18 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -8.05%E -6.39%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +1.95%E +0.206%K +0.230%G +0.004% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.52%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -8.05%E -6.39%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +1.95%E +0.206%K +0.230%G +0.004% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.52%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -8.05%E -6.39%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +1.95%E +0.206%K +0.230%G +0.004% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.52%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 22:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -8.05%E -6.39%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +1.95%E +0.206%K +0.230%G +0.004% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.52%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -8.05%E -6.39%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +1.95%E +0.206%K +0.230%G +0.004% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.52%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 22:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -8.78%E -7.02%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -3.41%E -0.379%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.33%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.98%EV -8.78%E -7.02%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -8.78%E -1.03%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -9.51%E -7.67%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -8.78%E -1.03%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -9.51%E -7.67%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -8.78%E -1.03%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -9.51%E -7.67%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -8.78%E -1.03%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 23:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -9.51%E -7.67%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -8.78%E -1.03%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 23:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.08%EV -10.24%E -8.32%K -44.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.58%EV -8.78%E -1.03%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-18 23:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 42.84% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 27.84% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 29.32% | 65.5% | 2026-10-19 02:04 |