L’École des cotes

Bragantino-SP v Atletico Paranaense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bragantino-SP (Local)

Prévision 46.45%2.15cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -2.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.89%46.40%46.49%47.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.992.002.0955.56%50.17%50.00%47.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atletico Paranaense (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.77%4.04cote équitable
EV +3.80%
Avantage +0.906%
Kelly +1.19%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 4.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.15%24.80%24.78%25.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.773.804.1929.41%26.53%26.32%23.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.78%3.47cote équitable
EV -3.58%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.54%28.80%28.73%30.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.203.203.3535.71%31.27%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55%EV -5.25%E -2.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.15%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.30%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-25 21:49
Coolbet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.97%EV -0.662%E -0.165%K -0.220%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 21:18
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.83%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -0.909%E -0.227%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-25 21:09
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.83%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -0.909%E -0.227%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-25 21:10
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -3.39%E -1.63%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.32%EV -1.40%E -0.353%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.15%EV -4.45%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 21:50
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -2.15%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 06:55
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -2.15%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 06:54
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -2.15%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 06:54
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 21:55
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 21:19
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 21:10
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 21:09
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 21:05
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 21:05
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 21:05
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 21:55
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 46.26%EV -5.72%E -2.82%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.63%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 21:37
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -4.63%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 21:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -4.63%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 21:55
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.84%EV -7.57%E -3.81%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.40%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 21:55
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.23%EV -5.25%E -2.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.75%EV -5.62%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 21:55
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 16:45
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.18%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:20
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -8.50%E -4.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 21:05
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.97%E -4.57%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-25 21:10
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 21:40
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -6.18%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 21:20
Bet Right1.99I 50.25%NM 46.46%EV -7.57%E -3.81%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 21:45
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -10.36%E -5.37%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 21:10
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:55
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 21:45
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 21:45
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -6.18%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 21:40
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -6.18%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 21:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 21:14
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 21:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 21:14
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 21:15
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 21:55
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -10.82%E -5.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-25 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -10.82%E -5.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-25 21:05
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 21:34
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 21:40
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 21:35
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-25 21:54
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-25 21:34
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-25 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -9.90%E -5.10%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.06%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-25 21:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.68%EV -12.22%E -6.46%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -12.06%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-25 21:34
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.30%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -12.06%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.05%EV -10.20%E -3.27%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-25 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -19.41%E -6.93%K -10.78%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-25 21:39
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.25%EV -11.75%E -6.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -15.77%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-25 21:20
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.51%EV -16.40%E -9.11%K -20.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -15.77%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.87%EV -16.53%E -5.70%K -8.70%G +0.000%19.5%2026-02-25 21:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-02-25 21:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-02-25 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-02-25 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-02-25 21:50
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.0%2026-02-25 21:40