La escuela de los momios

Bragantino-SP v Atletico Paranaense

Inicio: 2026-02-25 22:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bragantino-SP (Local)

Predicción 46.45%2.15momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -2.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.89%46.40%46.49%47.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.992.002.0955.56%50.17%50.00%47.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atletico Paranaense (Visitante)

Predicción 24.77%4.04momio equitativo
EV +3.80%
Ventaja +0.906%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.045%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.15%24.80%24.78%25.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.773.804.1929.41%26.53%26.32%23.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.78%3.47momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.54%28.80%28.73%30.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.203.203.3535.71%31.27%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55%EV -5.25%E -2.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.15%EV +3.80%E +0.906%K +1.19%G +0.045%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.30%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-25 21:49
Coolbet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.97%EV -0.662%E -0.165%K -0.220%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 21:18
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.83%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -0.909%E -0.227%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-25 21:09
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.83%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%EV -0.909%E -0.227%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-25 21:10
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -3.39%E -1.63%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.32%EV -1.40%E -0.353%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.15%EV -4.45%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 21:50
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -2.15%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 06:55
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -2.15%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 06:54
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.14%EV -2.15%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 06:54
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 21:55
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 21:19
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 21:10
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 21:09
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 21:05
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 21:05
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 21:05
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.39%E -0.868%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 21:55
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 46.26%EV -5.72%E -2.82%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.63%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 21:37
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -4.63%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 21:10
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -4.63%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 21:55
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.84%EV -7.57%E -3.81%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.40%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 21:55
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.23%EV -5.25%E -2.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.75%EV -5.62%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 21:55
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 16:45
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.18%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:20
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -3.58%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -8.50%E -4.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 21:05
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.97%E -4.57%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-25 21:10
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 21:40
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -6.18%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 21:20
Bet Right1.99I 50.25%NM 46.46%EV -7.57%E -3.81%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 21:45
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -10.36%E -5.37%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 21:10
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 21:55
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 21:45
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 21:45
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -6.18%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 21:40
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -6.18%E -3.06%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 21:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 21:14
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 21:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 21:14
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.11%E -3.55%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-25 21:15
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 21:55
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -10.82%E -5.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-25 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -10.82%E -5.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-25 21:05
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 21:34
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -4.79%E -2.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 21:40
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 21:35
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-25 21:54
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-25 21:34
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.43%E -4.84%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-25 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -9.90%E -5.10%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.06%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-25 21:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.68%EV -12.22%E -6.46%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -12.06%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-25 21:34
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.30%EV -14.08%E -7.61%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -12.06%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.05%EV -10.20%E -3.27%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-25 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -11.29%E -5.91%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -19.41%E -6.93%K -10.78%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-25 21:39
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.25%EV -11.75%E -6.19%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -15.77%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-25 21:20
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.51%EV -16.40%E -9.11%K -20.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -15.77%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.87%EV -16.53%E -5.70%K -8.70%G +0.000%19.5%2026-02-25 21:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-02-25 21:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-02-25 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-02-25 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-02-25 21:50
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.0%2026-02-25 21:40