Language:English
Botafogo v Vasco da Gama
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botafogo (Local)
Prediction 34.71%2.88fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.25%34.73%34.70%35.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.702.7740.00%37.42%37.04%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vasco da Gama (Visit)
Prediction 38.20%2.62fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.863%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.87%38.13%38.30%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.442.452.5645.45%40.95%40.82%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.09%3.69fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.685%
Kelly -0.948%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.30%27.13%27.00%28.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.49%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botafogo (Local): 34.71%; Vasco da Gama (Visit): 38.20%; Draw: 27.09%. For Vasco da Gama (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.56, with an expected value of -2.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.63%EV -3.86%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.48%EV -2.21%E -0.863%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.89%EV -6.80%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 11:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.03%EV -3.86%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.32%EV -6.03%E -2.45%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.65%EV -7.61%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.62%EV -4.21%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.38%EV -4.88%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.00%EV -4.09%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 09:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.55%EV -4.21%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.29%EV -4.88%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.16%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 02:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.55%EV -4.21%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.29%EV -4.88%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.16%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -4.55%E -1.66%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.59%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-30 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -4.55%E -1.66%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.59%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-30 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.55%E -1.66%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -2.46%E -0.685%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 07:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.55%E -1.66%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-28 10:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -4.55%E -1.66%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.03%E -2.45%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -5.94%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -7.56%E -3.12%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.56%EV -8.97%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 16:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -2.46%E -0.685%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 14:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-28 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-28 10:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-28 10:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-28 10:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 04:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 23:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 09:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 06:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 07:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 08:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 07:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.69%EV -6.98%E -2.61%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.48%EV -5.27%E -2.12%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.83%EV -9.51%E -2.85%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-04 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.17%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -11.38%E -4.90%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-01 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -15.96%E -7.26%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-03 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -8.72%E -3.32%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 08:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-01 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-01 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-01 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-01 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 11:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-05 02:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -7.18%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.30%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -7.18%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.30%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 08:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -7.18%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.30%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 08:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -7.18%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.30%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 08:26 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -11.50%E -4.51%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.87%EV -7.18%E -2.95%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -13.30%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-30 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -11.50%E -4.51%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.48%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-05 02:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.88%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-01 11:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-05 14:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.45% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.49% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.07% | 1.5% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.03% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.04% | 2.7% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.90% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.31% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.90% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.31% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.90% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.31% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |