A Escola das Odds

Botafogo v Santos

Início: 2026-07-16 22:30 UTC

Final: Botafogo 2–1 Santos

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Botafogo (Local)

Previsão 42.91%2.33odd justa
EV -2.17%
Vantagem -0.950%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.46%42.91%42.88%44.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.162.202.2848.78%46.21%45.45%43.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Santos (Visitante)

Previsão 29.31%3.41odd justa
EV +2.60%
Vantagem +0.742%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescimento +0.027%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.64%29.31%29.35%31.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.223.213.5034.48%31.02%31.15%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.78%3.60odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -0.795%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.78%27.78%27.77%29.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.353.353.5032.26%29.90%29.85%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.13%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV +2.60%E +0.742%K +1.04%G +0.027%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-16 22:25
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -6.46%E -2.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV +2.60%E +0.742%K +1.04%G +0.027%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV -2.78%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-16 22:20
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.89%EV -3.02%E -1.34%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.26%EV +0.546%E +0.159%K +0.225%G +0.001%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.85%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-16 22:25
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -9.03%E -4.26%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV +0.546%E +0.159%K +0.225%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -2.78%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 19:19
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -9.03%E -4.26%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV +0.546%E +0.159%K +0.225%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -2.78%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.09%EV -8.17%E -3.82%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -0.333%E -0.098%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 22:25
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.09%EV -8.17%E -3.82%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -0.333%E -0.098%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.09%EV -8.17%E -3.82%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -0.333%E -0.098%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 22:25
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.61%EV -9.03%E -4.26%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.06%EV -1.21%E -0.360%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.33%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-16 15:30
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.80%E -0.537%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 22:10
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -9.03%E -4.26%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -1.80%E -0.537%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 22:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -9.03%E -4.26%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -1.80%E -0.537%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 22:20
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -9.03%E -4.26%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -1.80%E -0.537%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 22:20
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -1.80%E -0.537%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 22:20
BetAnything2.28I 43.86%NM 42.66%EV -2.17%E -0.950%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.39%EV -2.97%E -0.898%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV -3.34%E -0.959%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-16 22:25
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 22:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 19:00
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 22:25
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 21:55
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.72%EV -8.17%E -3.82%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-16 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -10.75%E -5.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-16 22:20
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -11.61%E -5.63%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-16 22:25
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.63%EV -2.59%E -1.14%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.41%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.96%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-16 22:25
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 21:39
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 22:00
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 21:59
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -12.03%E -5.87%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 22:20
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -12.03%E -5.87%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 22:20
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.96%EV -6.89%E -3.17%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -5.61%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.78%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 22:00
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:20
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:15
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:15
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-16 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-16 22:00
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-16 21:44
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 22:24
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.74%E -3.60%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 21:40
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.74%E -3.60%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-16 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-16 22:15
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-16 22:10
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.46%E -2.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 22:10
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.46%E -2.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 22:10
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -8.54%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-16 22:10
betano_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.45%E -1.53%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 22:25
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-16 22:10
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 22:15
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 22:15
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 22:15
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-16 22:15
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-16 21:55
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.99%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.41%EV -10.01%E -3.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.61%EV -9.17%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-16 22:15
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 22:25
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-16 22:15
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -3.45%E -1.53%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:20
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-16 22:20
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.60%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-16 22:24
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.89%E -4.71%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-16 22:20
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -12.03%E -5.87%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-16 22:15
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -12.03%E -5.87%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -14.99%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-16 22:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-07-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-07-16 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-07-16 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-07-16 22:25
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-07-16 22:25
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-07-16 22:20