Language:English
Botafogo v Palmeiras
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botafogo (Local)
Prediction 29.17%3.43fair odd
EV +3.56%
Edge +1.00%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.48%29.05%29.30%30.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.243.203.5533.90%30.87%31.25%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Palmeiras (Visit)
Prediction 43.90%2.28fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%44.05%43.79%47.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.102.102.2252.08%47.60%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.93%3.71fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.848%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.90%26.91%28.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.443.6031.25%29.22%29.07%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botafogo (Local): 29.17%; Palmeiras (Visit): 43.90%; Draw: 26.93%. For Botafogo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%EV +3.56%E +1.00%K +1.40%G +0.050% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.71%EV -6.94%E -3.27%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.99%EV -3.32%E -0.925%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +3.56%E +1.00%K +1.40%G +0.050% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.81%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.40%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 21:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +3.56%E +1.00%K +1.40%G +0.050% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.81%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.40%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 21:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV +3.56%E +1.00%K +1.40%G +0.050% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -15.71%E -8.18%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV +0.641%E +0.186%K +0.262%G +0.002% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.52%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV -0.817%E -0.240%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.80%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.73%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -0.817%E -0.240%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 21:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -0.817%E -0.240%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -9.57%E -4.65%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -0.817%E -0.240%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -9.57%E -4.65%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -0.817%E -0.240%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -9.57%E -4.65%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 21:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -0.817%E -0.240%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -9.57%E -4.65%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 21:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -0.817%E -0.240%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -9.57%E -4.65%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 21:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -0.817%E -0.240%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -9.57%E -4.65%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -0.817%E -0.240%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.20%E -6.10%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -2.55%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -4.40%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-06 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -2.55%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -4.40%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-06 20:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -2.55%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -4.40%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-06 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -11.32%E -5.61%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 21:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.86%EV -4.61%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -5.18%E -2.40%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.44%EV -7.36%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 20:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.19%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.19%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.48%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.19%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.48%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.19%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.48%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.19%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.48%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -5.19%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.01%E -4.88%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.48%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -5.19%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -10.01%E -4.88%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.48%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.19%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.20%E -6.10%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 21:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.19%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.20%E -6.10%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 21:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.51%EV -4.74%E -2.18%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 20:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.45%EV -4.74%E -2.18%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.09%EV -6.28%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 20:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.30%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 20:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 20:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 20:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 20:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 20:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.62%E -2.61%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.82%EV -8.69%E -4.18%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -3.59%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -6.94%E -3.27%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -6.94%E -3.27%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 21:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -6.94%E -3.27%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.01%E -4.88%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.82%EV -13.52%E -6.86%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-06 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.82%EV -13.52%E -6.86%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-06 21:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -8.11%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -12.20%E -6.10%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 20:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 20:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 20:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 20:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.05%E -0.848%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 20:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.22%EV -10.15%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.91%EV -10.01%E -4.88%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -11.03%E -3.62%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -10.01%E -4.88%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 20:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.81%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 20:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.20%E -6.10%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 21:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -12.20%E -6.10%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-06 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -13.94%E -4.73%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -10.01%E -4.88%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 20:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 21:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |