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Botafogo v Chapecoense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botafogo (Local)
Prediction 69.63%1.44fair odd
EV -5.31%
Edge -3.90%
Kelly -14.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.88%69.71%69.59%71.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.331.331.3679.37%74.98%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chapecoense (Visit)
Prediction 12.54%7.97fair odd
EV +13.13%
Edge +1.46%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.215%
assuming max odds 9.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.61%12.45%12.59%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.527.509.0216.00%13.29%13.33%11.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.83%5.61fair odd
EV +0.739%
Edge +0.131%
Kelly +0.159%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.06%17.84%17.81%19.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.205.255.6521.05%19.22%19.05%17.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botafogo (Local): 69.63%; Chapecoense (Visit): 12.54%; Draw: 17.83%. For Chapecoense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.97. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.13%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.39%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 9.02I 11.09%NM 10.61%EV +13.13%E +1.46%K +1.64%G +0.215% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.99%EV -10.14%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.93%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 11.02%EV +9.75%E +1.11%K +1.26%G +0.123% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.06%EV +0.739%E +0.131%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.93%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 11.02%EV +9.75%E +1.11%K +1.26%G +0.123% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.06%EV +0.739%E +0.131%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 15:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.93%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 11.02%EV +9.75%E +1.11%K +1.26%G +0.123% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.06%EV +0.739%E +0.131%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 15:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.93%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 11.02%EV +9.75%E +1.11%K +1.26%G +0.123% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.06%EV +0.739%E +0.131%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 15:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.92%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.09%EV +9.12%E +1.05%K +1.18%G +0.108% | 5.36I 18.66%NM 17.99%EV -4.43%E -0.827%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.14%EV +7.24%E +0.846%K +0.959%G +0.069% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.80%EV -4.61%E -0.862%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +6.61%E +0.778%K +0.881%G +0.058% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV -0.152%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +6.61%E +0.778%K +0.881%G +0.058% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV -0.152%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.49%EV +3.47%E +0.421%K +0.479%G +0.017% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -1.94%E -0.352%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.71%EV -11.57%E -9.11%K -42.86%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.11%EV +2.85%E +0.347%K +0.395%G +0.011% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.18%EV -5.50%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-17 20:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.61%EV +1.22%E +0.151%K +0.172%G +0.002% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 17.95%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 15:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +0.339%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 15:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +0.339%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 15:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -8.09%E -6.13%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.339%E +0.042%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -5.50%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -1.94%E -0.352%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 20:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -1.94%E -0.352%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 20:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -1.94%E -0.352%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 20:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -1.94%E -0.352%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 20:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 20:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 16:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 15:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 15:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 15:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -8.09%E -6.13%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -9.07%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.18%E -7.89%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-17 20:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.18%E -7.89%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.93%E -0.791%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-17 20:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.72%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.54%EV -7.19%E -0.971%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.74%EV -11.74%E -2.37%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-17 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.37%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.55%EV -8.44%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -14.42%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -9.07%E -1.25%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 20:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -9.07%E -1.25%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 20:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.67%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.79%EV -9.07%E -1.25%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 20:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.41%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV -9.70%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -3.72%E -0.689%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 20:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.41%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV -9.70%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -3.72%E -0.689%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 20:34 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -12.20%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -1.94%E -0.352%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 20:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.15%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -12.20%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -3.72%E -0.689%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 20:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.20%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.00%E -4.45%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.20%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 20:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -12.20%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-17 20:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.20%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.20%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -8.09%E -6.13%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -12.20%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -8.09%E -6.13%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -12.20%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -8.09%E -6.13%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -12.20%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -8.09%E -6.13%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -12.20%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.92%EV -9.48%E -7.30%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -12.20%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.92%EV -9.48%E -7.30%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -12.20%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.48%E -7.30%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -12.20%E -1.74%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -14.42%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.06%EV -12.27%E -9.74%K -47.19%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.18%EV -17.22%E -2.61%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.76%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-17 20:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.70%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -18.47%E -2.84%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -5.50%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 20:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.88%EV -10.18%E -7.89%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.68%EV -19.73%E -3.08%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.44%EV -15.31%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-17 20:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.19%EV -8.79%E -6.71%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -21.61%E -3.46%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.52%EV -9.07%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 20:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.52% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.05% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 0.6% | 2026-10-17 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.52% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.05% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 0.6% | 2026-10-17 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.52% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.05% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 0.6% | 2026-10-17 20:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.27% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.39% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.35% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.70% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.66% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 20:45 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 17:30 |