L’École des cotes

Bahia v Vitoria

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-11 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bahia (Local)

Prévision 54.87%1.82cote équitable
EV -3.98%
Avantage -2.27%
Kelly -5.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.24%54.84%54.88%56.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.691.701.7564.94%59.34%58.82%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vitoria (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.92%5.29cote équitable
EV +4.04%
Avantage +0.734%
Kelly +0.897%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.53%18.94%18.85%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.954.955.5023.26%20.19%20.20%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.21%3.81cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.453%
Kelly -0.617%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.31%26.22%26.27%28.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.533.553.7533.33%28.30%28.17%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.06%EV -5.62%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV +4.04%E +0.734%K +0.897%G +0.036%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 22:20
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.06%EV -5.62%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV +4.04%E +0.734%K +0.897%G +0.036%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 22:20
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.89%EV +1.96%E +0.363%K +0.445%G +0.009%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.35%EV -4.06%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 22:39
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.71%EV -4.53%E -2.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.02%EV +1.77%E +0.328%K +0.403%G +0.007%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.27%EV -3.27%E -0.886%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 22:49
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -7.82%E -4.65%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV +0.253%E +0.048%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -7.82%E -4.65%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV +0.253%E +0.048%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 22:20
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -7.82%E -4.65%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV +0.253%E +0.048%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 22:20
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -7.82%E -4.65%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV +0.253%E +0.048%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -7.82%E -4.65%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV +0.253%E +0.048%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 22:20
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.06%EV -7.82%E -4.65%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV +0.253%E +0.048%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 22:20
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV +0.253%E +0.048%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.94%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 22:20
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.53%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -0.693%E -0.132%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 22:34
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.53%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -0.693%E -0.132%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.46%E -5.74%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -0.693%E -0.132%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 22:20
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.45%EV -3.98%E -2.27%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32%EV -1.64%E -0.315%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 20:14
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.06%EV -10.01%E -6.11%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -1.64%E -0.315%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-11 22:20
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -2.58%E -0.502%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.94%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 22:49
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -2.58%E -0.502%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.94%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 22:49
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -2.58%E -0.502%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.94%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 22:49
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -7.27%E -4.30%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -3.53%E -0.692%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 22:49
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 55.95%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -3.53%E -0.692%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-11 22:20
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.04%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -3.53%E -0.692%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-11 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.04%EV -12.21%E -7.63%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -3.53%E -0.692%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-11 22:20
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -4.53%E -2.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -5.42%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 22:44
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.23%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -5.42%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 22:49
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -5.62%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.42%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 22:49
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -5.42%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 19:30
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.13%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -5.42%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 22:49
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.42%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 22:49
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.37%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.94%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 22:49
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -6.37%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.33%EV -7.20%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 22:49
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -5.62%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -6.37%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 22:49
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.62%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.22%EV -7.12%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.92%EV -4.58%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 22:49
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -7.31%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -7.31%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 22:44
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.89%EV -5.07%E -2.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -9.20%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -1.70%E -0.453%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 22:44
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.20%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.01%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 22:43
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -9.20%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.01%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 22:45
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -9.20%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.01%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -9.20%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.01%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 22:45
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -9.20%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.01%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 22:44
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.20%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 22:39
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.20%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 22:45
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.20%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 22:49
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.20%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 22:49
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -5.62%E -3.27%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -10.15%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 21:40
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -10.15%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.25%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-11 22:49
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -10.15%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-11 22:49
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -11.66%E -7.24%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -11.10%E -2.36%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.63%EV -8.78%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-11 19:34
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 54.55%EV -9.46%E -5.74%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.36%EV -12.04%E -2.59%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-11 22:44
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.77%EV -10.56%E -6.48%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.20%EV -12.04%E -2.59%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.03%EV -10.09%E -2.94%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-11 22:32
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.17%E -3.61%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -12.99%E -2.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 21:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -12.99%E -2.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-11 21:20
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.91%E -5.37%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -12.99%E -2.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -5.63%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-11 19:30
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.99%E -2.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.49%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-11 22:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -12.99%E -2.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-11 22:34
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -6.72%E -3.95%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -14.88%E -3.31%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.87%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-11 22:44
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 54.38%EV -15.50%E -10.06%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.03%EV -16.77%E -3.81%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.59%EV -17.43%E -5.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-11 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.24%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.55%EV -18.10%E -4.18%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.21%EV -21.36%E -7.12%K -10.68%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-11 22:50
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.16%EV -11.11%E -6.86%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -18.66%E -4.34%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -9.56%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-11 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.99%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%0.3%2026-03-11 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.99%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.89%0.3%2026-03-11 22:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-03-11 22:49
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.7%2026-03-11 22:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.1%2026-03-11 22:44