The School of Odds
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Bahia v Remo

2026-09-14 23:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bahia (Local)

Prediction 64.16%1.56fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -7.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.84%63.70%64.28%65.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.451.471.5071.94%68.83%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Remo (Visit)

Prediction 13.78%7.26fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -0.504%
Kelly -0.588%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.23%13.96%13.59%19.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.406.106.007.0022.73%16.39%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.06%4.53fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.54%22.34%22.13%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.994.004.3028.57%25.04%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bahia (Local): 64.16%; Remo (Visit): 13.78%; Draw: 22.06%. For Remo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 7.00, with an expected value of -3.53%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -3.76%E -2.50%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -17.31%E -2.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -16.19%E -4.26%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 08:19
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -3.76%E -2.50%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -17.31%E -2.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -16.19%E -4.26%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 08:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -3.76%E -2.50%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -17.31%E -2.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -16.19%E -4.26%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 08:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -3.76%E -2.50%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -17.31%E -2.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -16.19%E -4.26%K -5.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 08:19
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -3.53%E -0.504%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -5.16%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 08:20
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -3.53%E -0.504%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -5.16%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 08:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 56.84%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.12%EV -39.36%E -8.95%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.04%EV -22.81%E -6.52%K -9.12%G +0.000%18.9%2026-09-01 08:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.01%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.94%EV -14.56%E -2.35%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 08:18
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -5.68%E -3.86%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -13.87%E -2.22%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -9.57%E -2.33%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 08:19
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.60%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.53%E -0.504%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.16%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 08:19
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -10.42%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.37%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 08:20
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -3.53%E -0.504%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -5.16%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 08:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.16%EV -9.53%E -6.76%K -23.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.93%EV -24.20%E -4.40%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -11.78%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-01 08:20
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.17%E -7.27%K -25.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -10.42%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.78%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-01 08:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.78%EV -10.17%E -7.27%K -25.43%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.32%EV -26.96%E -5.09%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.90%EV -12.88%E -3.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-01 08:20
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.17%E -7.27%K -25.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -24.20%E -4.40%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -17.29%E -4.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-01 08:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 61.96%EV -10.81%E -7.78%K -27.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.38%EV -22.82%E -4.08%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.66%EV -16.19%E -4.26%K -5.78%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-01 08:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 65.09%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%6.0%2026-09-01 11:30