Language:English
Bahia v Mirassol
Head to Head
Bahia (Local)
Prediction 55.02%1.82fair odd
EV -4.82%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -6.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.88%55.02%55.02%56.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.671.681.7360.98%59.75%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mirassol (Visit)
Prediction 20.30%4.93fair odd
EV -0.549%
Edge -0.112%
Kelly -0.141%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.77%20.30%20.30%20.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.564.604.9022.73%21.91%21.74%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.68%4.05fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.316%
Kelly -0.421%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.22%24.68%24.68%24.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.783.804.0027.40%26.47%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bahia (Local): 55.02%; Mirassol (Visit): 20.30%; Draw: 24.68%. For Mirassol (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.90, with an expected value of -0.549%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.00%EV -4.82%E -2.78%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV -0.549%E -0.112%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -1.26%E -0.316%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-22 10:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.00%EV -4.82%E -2.78%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV -0.549%E -0.112%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%EV -1.26%E -0.316%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-22 10:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -7.57%E -4.50%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -7.57%E -4.50%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -7.57%E -4.50%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-22 10:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -7.57%E -4.50%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-22 10:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -7.57%E -4.50%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-22 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -7.57%E -4.50%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.64%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.02%EV -8.67%E -5.22%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -8.67%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-22 10:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -9.22%E -5.59%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -9.22%E -5.59%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-22 10:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -9.22%E -5.59%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.67%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-22 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -9.77%E -5.96%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-22 10:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -9.77%E -5.96%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -10.70%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -9.90%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-22 10:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.