Language:English
Bahia v Mirassol
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bahia (Local)
Prediction 56.40%1.77fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -5.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.47%56.33%56.40%58.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.651.671.7167.11%60.43%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mirassol (Visit)
Prediction 20.03%4.99fair odd
EV +11.95%
Edge +2.14%
Kelly +2.60%
Growth +0.311%
assuming max odds 5.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.16%20.11%20.01%21.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.624.605.5923.81%21.65%21.74%17.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.57%4.24fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.241%
Kelly -0.317%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.39%23.56%23.59%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.923.944.2027.78%25.49%25.38%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bahia (Local): 56.40%; Mirassol (Visit): 20.03%; Draw: 23.57%. For Mirassol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.99. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.49%EV -7.50%E -4.57%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.16%EV +11.95%E +2.14%K +2.60%G +0.311% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.35%EV -7.14%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 22:23 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.90%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.78%EV +1.94%E +0.381%K +0.474%G +0.009% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.32%EV -7.38%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 22:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.64%EV -1.47%E -0.298%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.51%EV -3.14%E -0.763%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-11 22:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.85%EV -6.37%E -3.84%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -1.87%E -0.381%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.91%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 21:43 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.85%EV -6.37%E -3.84%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -1.87%E -0.381%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.91%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 21:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.98%EV -4.11%E -2.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.62%EV -2.87%E -0.591%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -3.55%E -2.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -3.87%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 07:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -3.55%E -2.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -3.87%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 07:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -3.55%E -2.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -3.87%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 07:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.54%EV -4.11%E -2.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%EV -3.87%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 21:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.54%EV -4.11%E -2.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%EV -3.87%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 21:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.12%EV -6.37%E -3.84%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV -3.87%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -3.87%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 22:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -11.44%E -7.29%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -3.87%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 21:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -4.87%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 21:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -4.87%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 22:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.15%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -4.87%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 22:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -4.87%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 22:23 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -4.87%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -4.87%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -4.87%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -11.62%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 22:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.11%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -5.87%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -5.87%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -12.80%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.71%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -6.87%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -15.16%E -4.21%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.19%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.37%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 22:18 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -1.01%E -0.241%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 22:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -6.37%E -3.84%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 22:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -6.37%E -3.84%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 22:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 21:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.77%EV -7.50%E -4.57%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -4.55%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 15:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.27%EV -15.96%E -10.71%K -32.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.88%EV -7.87%E -1.71%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.85%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-11 22:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.88%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 22:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.88%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.88%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.88%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 22:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.88%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 22:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.80%EV -9.75%E -6.10%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -9.88%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%EV -6.91%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-11 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -9.75%E -6.10%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.88%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 22:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.75%E -6.10%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -9.88%E -2.19%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-11 21:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.24%EV -12.01%E -7.70%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.72%EV -10.88%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -13.98%E -3.83%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-11 22:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -6.91%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-11 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -7.50%E -4.57%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.44%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-11 21:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -7.50%E -4.57%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.62%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 21:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -7.50%E -4.57%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.62%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 21:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -7.50%E -4.57%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.62%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.06%E -4.95%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.62%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.51%EV -10.88%E -6.89%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -11.88%E -2.70%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -9.26%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 21:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.24%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.57%EV -12.88%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -12.80%E -3.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 21:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -9.75%E -6.10%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -13.28%E -3.07%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.62%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-11 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -4.11%E -2.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -14.88%E -3.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.08%E -2.07%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-11 22:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.09%EV -5.24%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -14.88%E -3.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 22:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.48%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -15.88%E -3.78%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -9.75%E -6.10%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -15.88%E -3.78%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.73%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.37% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.85% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 21:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 1.3% | 2026-10-11 21:50 |