مدرسة الاحتمالات

Bahia v Cruzeiro

البداية: 2026-05-10 00:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Bahia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.85%2.09السعر العادل
EV -1.42%
الأفضلية -0.692%
Kelly -1.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.55%47.74%47.95%48.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.951.952.0654.64%51.39%51.28%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cruzeiro (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.19%3.97السعر العادل
EV -0.515%
الأفضلية -0.130%
Kelly -0.175%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.31%25.23%25.18%26.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.703.733.9529.85%27.01%26.81%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.96%3.71السعر العادل
EV -0.510%
الأفضلية -0.138%
Kelly -0.190%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.83%27.03%26.87%28.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.413.453.6933.33%29.34%28.99%27.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.15%EV -1.42%E -0.692%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.54%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.32%EV -0.510%E -0.138%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 23:55
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.44%EV -2.38%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%EV -0.515%E -0.130%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 23:54
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.44%EV -2.38%E -1.17%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%EV -0.515%E -0.130%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 23:55
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.77%E -0.455%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -9.68%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 23:45
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 23:34
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.55%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 23:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.33%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 23:24
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.64%EV -4.77%E -2.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.63%EV -1.02%E -0.259%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.74%EV -2.40%E -0.662%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 23:49
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.50%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -3.03%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -9.68%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:55
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.39%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -3.03%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 23:30
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.39%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -3.03%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 23:30
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 47.64%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.16%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 23:29
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -3.03%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -9.68%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 23:55
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -3.03%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -9.68%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 23:54
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -3.03%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -9.68%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 23:54
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -3.03%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -9.68%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 23:54
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.62%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -3.03%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -9.68%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 23:54
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -4.29%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 23:30
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -5.55%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 23:44
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.29%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 23:34
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.29%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 23:35
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.29%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 23:39
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.29%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 23:29
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.29%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.55%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 23:34
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 23:55
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.55%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 23:29
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -10.59%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 23:39
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.33%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.33%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 23:39
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.07%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 23:29
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.33%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 23:44
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 23:54
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 23:54
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 23:54
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -7.17%E -3.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.29%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 23:44
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -7.17%E -3.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.29%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 23:50
BetAnything1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -7.17%E -3.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.29%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.17%E -3.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.55%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 23:35
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -7.17%E -3.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.55%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 23:34
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.04%EV -7.17%E -3.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.32%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 23:38
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.66%EV -7.17%E -3.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.29%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 23:54
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -7.17%E -3.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 23:34
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -7.65%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.55%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 23:55
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.12%E -4.23%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 23:54
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.12%E -4.23%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 23:44
PMU (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -8.12%E -4.23%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -12.37%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 23:54
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -8.12%E -4.23%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -12.37%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 23:55
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.08%E -4.78%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.33%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 23:34
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.08%E -4.78%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.33%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.33%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 23:34
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -9.08%E -4.78%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 23:54
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -9.08%E -4.78%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 23:54
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.14%EV -9.56%E -5.06%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.37%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 23:38
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -10.04%E -5.34%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -15.63%E -4.66%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -12.37%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 23:34
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.52%E -5.62%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 23:30
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -11.47%E -6.20%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 23:34
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.92%EV -11.47%E -6.20%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -14.37%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -15.07%E -4.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-09 23:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -12.43%E -6.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -14.37%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -19.11%E -6.37%K -9.56%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-09 23:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 48.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.00%0.1%2026-05-09 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-05-09 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-05-09 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-05-09 23:55
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-05-09 23:55
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-05-09 23:34