A Escola das Odds

Atletico Paranaense v Vitoria

Início: 2026-04-26 21:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atletico Paranaense (Local)

Previsão 55.46%1.80odd justa
EV -4.06%
Vantagem -2.34%
Kelly -5.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%55.44%55.48%57.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.571.661.671.7363.69%60.20%59.88%57.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vitoria (Visitante)

Previsão 18.04%5.54odd justa
EV +3.76%
Vantagem +0.653%
Kelly +0.791%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.70%18.03%18.01%19.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.205.255.7522.22%19.23%19.05%17.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.50%3.77odd justa
EV -0.638%
Vantagem -0.170%
Kelly -0.232%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.52%26.53%26.52%28.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.513.553.7533.33%28.51%28.17%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.76%E +0.653%K +0.791%G +0.030%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.638%E -0.170%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 12:49
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.76%E +0.653%K +0.791%G +0.030%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.638%E -0.170%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 12:49
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 10:09
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 10:09
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 10:09
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 10:09
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 10:09
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 10:10
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -9.60%E -5.89%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -0.754%E -0.137%K -0.168%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 10:10
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.42%EV -11.27%E -7.04%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -0.754%E -0.137%K -0.168%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:49
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.79%EV -2.56%E -0.474%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 01:40
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -12.93%E -8.24%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -2.56%E -0.474%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 10:09
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -12.93%E -8.24%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -2.56%E -0.474%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 10:10
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.60%EV -5.17%E -3.02%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.77%EV -3.46%E -0.647%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.63%EV -5.41%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 14:54
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.60%EV -5.17%E -3.02%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.77%EV -3.46%E -0.647%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.63%EV -5.41%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 14:54
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.82%EV -3.64%E -0.682%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.21%EV -3.82%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 13:05
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 55.84%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.80%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.36%EV -5.14%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 00:04
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 21:48
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 09:19
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.31%EV -12.93%E -8.24%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.98%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 10:10
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.31%EV -12.93%E -8.24%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.98%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 10:09
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 19:39
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:33
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 12:55
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 02:20
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 22:55
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 01:34
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:39
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 12:55
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.17%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 21:35
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 21:50
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.13%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:34
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 05:40
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 19:39
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 21:49
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 21:45
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 20:00
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:20
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:15
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:15
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 22:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 21:35
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 19:39
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.30%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 12:48
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -10.68%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 06:15
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -10.68%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 06:20
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.24%EV -11.82%E -7.43%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -13.39%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.46%EV -12.03%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 23:29
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -14.29%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 21:34
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.05%EV -11.82%E -7.43%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.43%EV -14.29%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-20 21:34
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.32%EV -10.16%E -6.27%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -15.19%E -3.23%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 22:24
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.65%EV -12.38%E -7.83%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -10.16%E -6.27%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -20.51%E -6.84%K -10.26%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-20 21:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.52%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%2.9%2026-04-23 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.52%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%2.9%2026-04-23 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.52%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%2.9%2026-04-23 21:35
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%4.5%2026-04-23 22:04
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 55.52%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%6.6%2026-04-24 01:30