La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Atletico Paranaense v Vitoria
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atletico Paranaense (Local)
Predicción 55.46%1.80momio equitativo
EV -4.06%
Ventaja -2.34%
Kelly -5.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%55.44%55.48%57.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.661.671.7363.69%60.20%59.88%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vitoria (Visitante)
Predicción 18.04%5.54momio equitativo
EV +3.76%
Ventaja +0.653%
Kelly +0.791%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.70%18.03%18.01%19.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.205.255.7522.22%19.23%19.05%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.50%3.77momio equitativo
EV -0.638%
Ventaja -0.170%
Kelly -0.232%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.52%26.53%26.52%28.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.513.553.7533.33%28.51%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.76%E +0.653%K +0.791%G +0.030% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.638%E -0.170%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.76%E +0.653%K +0.791%G +0.030% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.638%E -0.170%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 10:09 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 10:09 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 10:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 10:09 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 10:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -9.60%E -5.89%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -0.754%E -0.137%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 10:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.42%EV -11.27%E -7.04%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -0.754%E -0.137%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.79%EV -2.56%E -0.474%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -12.93%E -8.24%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -2.56%E -0.474%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 10:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -12.93%E -8.24%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -2.56%E -0.474%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.60%EV -5.17%E -3.02%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.77%EV -3.46%E -0.647%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.63%EV -5.41%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.60%EV -5.17%E -3.02%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.77%EV -3.46%E -0.647%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.63%EV -5.41%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 14:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.82%EV -3.64%E -0.682%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.21%EV -3.82%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 13:05 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.84%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.80%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.36%EV -5.14%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-20 00:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 21:48 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.31%EV -12.93%E -8.24%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.98%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.31%EV -12.93%E -8.24%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.98%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 10:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:33 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 12:55 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 02:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 01:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 12:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.17%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 21:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-20 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.13%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 21:34 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 05:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-20 21:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 21:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 20:00 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 22:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 21:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.30%EV -8.49%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 12:48 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -10.68%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 06:15 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -10.68%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 06:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.24%EV -11.82%E -7.43%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -13.39%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.46%EV -12.03%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -14.29%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 21:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.05%EV -11.82%E -7.43%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.43%EV -14.29%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-20 21:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.32%EV -10.16%E -6.27%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -15.19%E -3.23%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 22:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.65%EV -12.38%E -7.83%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -12.56%E -3.81%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -10.16%E -6.27%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -20.51%E -6.84%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-20 21:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.52% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.48% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.52% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.48% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.52% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.48% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.52% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |