L’École des cotes

Atletico Mineiro v Mirassol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 21:30 UTC

Score final : Atletico Mineiro 3–1 Mirassol

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atletico Mineiro (Local)

Prévision 47.49%2.11cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.817%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.26%47.53%47.49%48.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.961.952.0754.64%50.98%51.28%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mirassol (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.20%4.13cote équitable
EV +1.89%
Avantage +0.450%
Kelly +0.590%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.96%24.18%24.17%25.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.833.804.2128.57%26.12%26.32%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.30%3.53cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -0.850%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.51%28.29%28.34%30.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.273.303.4335.71%30.54%30.30%29.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.43%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.00%EV +1.89%E +0.450%K +0.590%G +0.011%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.57%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 21:25
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.51%EV -0.526%E -0.128%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.17%EV -2.92%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 21:25
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 20:45
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 20:44
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:05
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 21:05
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.76%E -5.14%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 20:45
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.40%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:25
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.40%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:25
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -4.40%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:25
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -4.40%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 21:22
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -5.12%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.16%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 21:25
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.74%EV -1.69%E -0.817%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 21:01
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.74%EV -1.69%E -0.817%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 21:00
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:25
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:30
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:29
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 21:05
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.65%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 21:10
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.65%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 21:10
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 20:39
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:05
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:10
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:10
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 47.00%EV -4.54%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.46%EV -6.03%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 21:08
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 20:40
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 21:25
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 20:41
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:00
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:01
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:00
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:01
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:01
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:01
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:00
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 21:05
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 21:05
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 21:05
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 21:05
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.92%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 21:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 20:40
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.26%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 20:45
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 21:10
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 21:10
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 21:10
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 21:01
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -8.34%E -4.32%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 21:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -8.34%E -4.32%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.71%EV -11.19%E -5.98%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.24%EV -10.93%E -2.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.05%EV -9.99%E -3.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 21:10
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -8.81%E -4.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -11.66%E -3.19%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 21:10
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.83%EV -8.81%E -4.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.66%E -3.19%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 21:00
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.83%EV -8.81%E -4.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.66%E -3.19%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 21:01
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.26%EV -13.09%E -7.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.51%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.23%EV -20.75%E -7.41%K -11.53%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-16 21:10
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.49%EV -13.09%E -7.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.48%EV -14.08%E -3.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -12.26%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-16 21:10
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.33%EV -11.66%E -6.27%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.15%EV -15.29%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 21:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-05-16 21:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-05-16 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-05-16 21:25
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62%1.3%2026-05-16 21:25
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%1.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-05-16 21:05