La escuela de los momios

Atletico Mineiro v Mirassol

Inicio: 2026-05-16 21:30 UTC

Final: Atletico Mineiro 3–1 Mirassol

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atletico Mineiro (Local)

Predicción 47.49%2.11momio equitativo
EV -1.69%
Ventaja -0.817%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.26%47.53%47.49%48.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.961.952.0754.64%50.98%51.28%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mirassol (Visitante)

Predicción 24.20%4.13momio equitativo
EV +1.89%
Ventaja +0.450%
Kelly +0.590%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.96%24.18%24.17%25.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.833.804.2128.57%26.12%26.32%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.30%3.53momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -0.850%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.51%28.29%28.34%30.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.273.303.4335.71%30.54%30.30%29.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.43%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.00%EV +1.89%E +0.450%K +0.590%G +0.011%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.57%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 21:25
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.51%EV -0.526%E -0.128%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.17%EV -2.92%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 21:25
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 20:45
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 20:44
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:05
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 21:05
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -9.76%E -5.14%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 20:45
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.40%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:25
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.40%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:25
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -4.40%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:25
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -4.40%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 21:22
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -5.12%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.16%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 21:25
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.74%EV -1.69%E -0.817%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 21:01
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.74%EV -1.69%E -0.817%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 21:00
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:25
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:30
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:29
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 21:05
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.65%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 21:10
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.65%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 21:10
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 20:39
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:05
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 21:10
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:10
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 47.00%EV -4.54%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.46%EV -6.03%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 21:08
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 20:40
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 21:25
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 20:41
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:00
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:01
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:00
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:01
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:01
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:01
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 21:00
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 21:05
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 21:05
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 21:05
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 21:05
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.92%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 21:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 20:40
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.26%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 20:45
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 21:10
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -6.44%E -3.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 21:10
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 21:10
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 21:01
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -8.34%E -4.32%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 21:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -8.34%E -4.32%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.71%EV -11.19%E -5.98%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.24%EV -10.93%E -2.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.05%EV -9.99%E -3.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 21:10
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -8.81%E -4.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -11.66%E -3.19%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 21:10
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.83%EV -8.81%E -4.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.66%E -3.19%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 21:00
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.83%EV -8.81%E -4.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.66%E -3.19%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 21:01
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.26%EV -13.09%E -7.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.51%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.23%EV -20.75%E -7.41%K -11.53%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-16 21:10
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.49%EV -13.09%E -7.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.48%EV -14.08%E -3.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -12.26%E -3.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-16 21:10
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.33%EV -11.66%E -6.27%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.15%EV -15.29%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 21:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-05-16 21:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-05-16 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-05-16 21:25
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62%1.3%2026-05-16 21:25
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%1.7%2026-05-16 21:25
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-05-16 21:05