默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atletico Mineiro v Fluminense

开赛时间: 2026-09-13 20:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

21 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atletico Mineiro (主队)

预测 41.61%2.40公平赔率
EV -3.87%
优势 -1.68%
Kelly -2.96%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.31

博彩公司预测分布
40.68%41.64%41.44%42.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.032.192.202.3149.26%45.63%45.45%43.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fluminense (客队)

预测 29.34%3.41公平赔率
EV -3.48%
优势 -1.06%
Kelly -1.52%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.29

博彩公司预测分布
28.40%29.22%29.29%30.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.133.203.2934.48%31.99%31.25%30.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.05%3.44公平赔率
EV -4.14%
优势 -1.25%
Kelly -1.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.07%29.13%29.27%30.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.133.153.3033.33%31.94%31.75%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atletico Mineiro (主队):41.61%;Fluminense (客队):29.34%;平局:29.05%。 对于“Fluminense (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.41。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.29,期望值为-3.48%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.15%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.33%EV -5.01%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 16:40
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 15:50
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 15:50
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:48
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -7.62%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:39
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 16:04
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 16:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 15:44
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 16:15
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 16:15
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 15:48
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -9.28%E -4.26%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 15:45
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 06:45
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -14.92%E -5.14%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-31 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.44%EV -14.69%E -7.17%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -13.45%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-31 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -14.69%E -7.17%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.87%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-31 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.03%EV -14.69%E -7.17%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -14.92%E -5.14%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.25%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-31 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 42.49%EV -15.53%E -7.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-31 15:44
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 40.75%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.07%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.18%13.1%2026-08-31 21:45