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Atletico Mineiro v Cruzeiro

2026-10-29 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atletico Mineiro (Local)

Prediction 39.28%2.55fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.55%39.23%39.35%41.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.322.352.4847.62%43.09%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cruzeiro (Visit)

Prediction 33.23%3.01fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -2.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.50%33.22%33.16%33.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.742.762.8739.22%36.48%36.23%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.48%3.64fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.50%27.55%27.49%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.303.5032.26%30.19%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atletico Mineiro (Local): 39.28%; Cruzeiro (Visit): 33.23%; Draw: 27.48%. For Atletico Mineiro (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.48, with an expected value of -2.58%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.68%EV -2.58%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.43%EV -4.62%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.89%EV -5.45%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-19 15:40
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.29%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-19 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.44%EV -7.61%E -2.74%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.83%EV -8.20%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-19 15:35
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 15:25
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 15:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-19 15:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.29%EV -7.29%E -3.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.60%EV -8.28%E -3.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -6.00%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-19 14:34
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.29%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-19 14:35
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.95%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-19 14:37
picklebet_au🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-19 14:35
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.61%E -3.13%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-19 14:35
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-19 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.27%E -3.80%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-19 14:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.76%EV -12.40%E -5.56%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.21%EV -11.27%E -4.22%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.03%EV -9.85%E -3.00%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-19 14:38
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -13.58%E -6.17%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -13.59%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-19 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.38%EV -13.58%E -6.17%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.97%EV -15.26%E -5.98%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.65%EV -10.68%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-19 14:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -13.58%E -6.17%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -13.59%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -14.80%E -4.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-19 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%EV -17.51%E -8.34%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.50%EV -11.93%E -4.50%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.50%EV -10.68%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-19 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 39.07%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.75%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.18%9.8%2026-10-19 17:30