Language:English
Atletico Mineiro v Chapecoense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atletico Mineiro (Local)
Prediction 67.58%1.48fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -7.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.64%67.59%67.58%70.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.381.4375.76%72.74%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chapecoense (Visit)
Prediction 12.08%8.27fair odd
EV +11.79%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.168%
assuming max odds 9.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.46%12.11%12.04%14.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.717.509.2516.00%12.97%13.33%10.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.34%4.92fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.256%
Kelly +0.320%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.34%20.29%20.38%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.614.604.9823.81%21.69%21.74%20.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atletico Mineiro (Local): 67.58%; Chapecoense (Visit): 12.08%; Draw: 20.34%. For Chapecoense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.27. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.11%EV -6.74%E -4.89%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.46%EV +11.79%E +1.27%K +1.43%G +0.168% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.43%EV +1.28%E +0.256%K +0.320%G +0.004% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.11%EV -6.74%E -4.89%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.46%EV +11.79%E +1.27%K +1.43%G +0.168% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.43%EV +1.28%E +0.256%K +0.320%G +0.004% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.11%EV -6.74%E -4.89%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.46%EV +11.79%E +1.27%K +1.43%G +0.168% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.43%EV +1.28%E +0.256%K +0.320%G +0.004% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.11%EV -6.74%E -4.89%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.46%EV +11.79%E +1.27%K +1.43%G +0.168% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.43%EV +1.28%E +0.256%K +0.320%G +0.004% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.29%EV -4.71%E -3.34%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 8.94I 11.19%NM 10.77%EV +8.04%E +0.899%K +1.01%G +0.081% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.95%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV +2.72%E +0.320%K +0.363%G +0.010% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.70%EV -0.352%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.95%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV +2.72%E +0.320%K +0.363%G +0.010% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.70%EV -0.352%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.04%E -2.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +2.72%E +0.320%K +0.363%G +0.010% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.14%EV -7.67%E -1.69%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.23%EV -6.07%E -4.36%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV +2.72%E +0.320%K +0.363%G +0.010% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.07%EV -6.74%E -4.89%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV +2.72%E +0.320%K +0.363%G +0.010% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.71%E -3.34%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.71%E -3.34%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -8.09%E -5.95%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -3.40%E -0.716%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -8.09%E -5.95%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -3.40%E -0.716%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -8.09%E -5.95%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -3.40%E -0.716%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 18:53 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.74%E -4.89%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -8.09%E -5.95%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.42%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -8.09%E -5.95%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.42%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -8.09%E -5.95%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.42%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.55%EV -9.44%E -7.05%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -10.12%E -7.61%K -30.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -4.42%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -8.09%E -5.95%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -11.94%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -8.09%E -5.95%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -11.94%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -8.09%E -5.95%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -11.94%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -8.09%E -5.95%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -3.32%E -0.415%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -11.94%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.88%EV -6.07%E -4.36%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.23%EV -8.15%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.89%EV -9.50%E -2.14%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.71%E -3.34%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.52%EV -8.40%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -4.42%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.18%EV -3.36%E -2.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.81%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -2.39%E -0.497%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.39%E -0.497%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.39%E -0.497%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.40%E -0.716%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.40%E -0.716%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -4.04%E -2.84%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -13.57%E -3.19%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -6.74%E -4.89%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -8.09%E -5.95%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.39%E -0.497%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -8.09%E -5.95%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.39%E -0.497%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -8.09%E -5.95%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -2.39%E -0.497%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -6.74%E -4.89%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -8.09%E -5.95%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -8.77%E -6.50%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -8.77%E -6.50%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.12%E -7.61%K -30.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -9.36%E -1.25%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -11.94%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.53%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.78%EV -10.57%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -2.39%E -0.497%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -11.78%E -1.61%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.39%E -0.497%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.70%EV -11.78%E -1.61%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.52%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.64%EV -11.78%E -1.61%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -12.55%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -12.38%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -3.40%E -0.716%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -12.38%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -3.40%E -0.716%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.39%E -3.85%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.72%EV -12.38%E -1.71%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -12.55%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.44%EV -9.44%E -7.05%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -15.41%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.44%EV -9.44%E -7.05%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -15.41%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -8.09%E -5.95%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -15.41%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -11.94%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.15%EV -9.44%E -7.05%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.41%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.15%EV -9.44%E -7.05%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.41%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.49%E -1.89%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -10.12%E -7.61%K -30.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -15.41%E -2.20%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -14.59%E -3.47%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-19 18:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.93%EV -10.80%E -8.18%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 12.99%EV -17.82%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.08%EV -10.52%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.57%EV -7.42%E -5.41%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -21.45%E -3.30%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -4.42%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.05%EV -10.12%E -7.61%K -30.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -21.45%E -3.30%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -12.55%E -2.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -8.77%E -6.50%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -24.47%E -3.92%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -6.45%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.26% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.39% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.35% | 0.3% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.63% | 9.52I 10.50%NM 10.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 0.4% | 2026-09-19 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.11% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.59% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.11% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.59% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.11% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.59% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.25% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |