L’École des cotes

Westerlo v Genk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 16:15 UTC

Score final : Westerlo 1–2 Genk

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Westerlo (Local)

Prévision 36.57%2.73cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.468%
Kelly -0.743%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.67%36.60%36.52%38.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.542.552.7042.55%39.36%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Genk (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.27%2.68cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -0.750%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.51%37.30%37.28%38.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.492.502.6344.44%40.15%40.00%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.16%3.82cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -0.509%
Kelly -0.694%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.92%26.10%26.20%28.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.493.503.7534.72%28.63%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.26%E -0.468%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.97%EV -1.97%E -0.750%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-18 16:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.26%E -0.468%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.97%EV -1.97%E -0.750%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-18 16:00
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.44%EV -2.73%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.27%EV -3.48%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.63%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -8.31%E -3.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 16:00
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.63%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -8.31%E -3.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -8.45%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -8.45%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 16:00
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.45%EV -4.19%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.02%EV -3.84%E -1.49%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 16:00
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 14:55
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:54
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:55
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.45%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 15:00
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.45%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 15:00
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 16:00
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 16:00
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 16:00
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 16:00
Suprabets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -6.38%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.06%EV -6.07%E -2.41%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -7.66%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 15:59
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -6.38%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.07%E -2.41%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.92%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:00
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:55
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.22%E -0.869%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 06:15
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 14:55
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.14%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 15:12
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.14%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 15:14
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.14%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 15:14
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 16:00
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 16:00
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 16:00
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.45%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 16:00
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.91%E -0.509%K -0.694%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.22%E -0.869%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.42%EV -9.43%E -3.88%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.21%EV -9.23%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 16:00
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -7.56%E -3.05%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -12.37%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 16:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 16:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 16:00
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:55
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 16:00
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 16:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:55
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.18%EV -9.31%E -3.75%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.63%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -13.68%E -4.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 16:00
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.18%EV -9.31%E -3.75%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.63%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -13.68%E -4.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 16:00
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.14%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 14:55
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.68%E -4.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 14:55
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.45%EV -11.50%E -4.75%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.22%EV -11.66%E -4.92%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -12.37%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-18 15:58
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -12.23%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:59
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -12.23%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -11.29%E -4.74%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 16:00
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -12.23%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -14.27%E -6.21%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -13.68%E -4.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-18 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 34.67%EV -12.97%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.68%EV -16.14%E -7.17%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.65%EV -24.66%E -8.56%K -13.12%G +0.000%21.2%2026-04-18 15:10
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -14.06%E -5.98%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.41%E -5.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-18 14:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-04-18 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-04-18 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-04-18 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-04-18 16:00
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.1%2026-04-18 16:00
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-04-18 16:00