La escuela de los momios

Westerlo v Genk

Inicio: 2026-04-18 16:15 UTC

Final: Westerlo 1–2 Genk

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Westerlo (Local)

Predicción 36.57%2.73momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.468%
Kelly -0.743%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.67%36.60%36.52%38.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.542.552.7042.55%39.36%39.22%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Genk (Visitante)

Predicción 37.27%2.68momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.750%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.51%37.30%37.28%38.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.492.502.6344.44%40.15%40.00%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.16%3.82momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -0.509%
Kelly -0.694%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.92%26.10%26.20%28.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.493.503.7534.72%28.63%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.26%E -0.468%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.97%EV -1.97%E -0.750%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-18 16:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.26%E -0.468%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.97%EV -1.97%E -0.750%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-18 16:00
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.44%EV -2.73%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.27%EV -3.48%E -0.942%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.63%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -8.31%E -3.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 16:00
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.63%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -8.31%E -3.38%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -8.45%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -3.09%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -8.45%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 16:00
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.45%EV -4.19%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.02%EV -3.84%E -1.49%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 16:00
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 14:55
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:54
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:55
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.45%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 15:00
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.45%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 15:00
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 16:00
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 16:00
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 16:00
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 16:00
Suprabets2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -6.38%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.06%EV -6.07%E -2.41%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -7.66%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 15:59
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -6.38%E -2.49%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.07%E -2.41%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.92%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 16:00
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:55
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.22%E -0.869%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 06:15
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 14:55
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.14%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 15:12
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.14%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 15:14
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.14%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 15:14
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 16:00
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 16:00
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -4.95%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 16:00
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.45%E -2.41%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 16:00
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.91%E -0.509%K -0.694%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.22%E -0.869%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.42%EV -9.43%E -3.88%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.21%EV -9.23%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 16:00
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -7.56%E -3.05%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -12.37%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 16:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 16:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 16:00
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:55
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 16:00
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -9.75%E -2.83%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 16:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:55
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.18%EV -9.31%E -3.75%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.63%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -13.68%E -4.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 16:00
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.18%EV -9.31%E -3.75%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.63%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -13.68%E -4.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 16:00
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.68%E -3.54%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.14%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 14:55
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.68%E -4.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 14:55
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.45%EV -11.50%E -4.75%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.22%EV -11.66%E -4.92%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -12.37%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-18 15:58
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -12.23%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.82%E -2.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:59
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -12.23%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -11.29%E -4.74%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 16:00
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -12.23%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -14.27%E -6.21%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -13.68%E -4.14%K -5.95%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-18 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 34.67%EV -12.97%E -5.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.68%EV -16.14%E -7.17%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.65%EV -24.66%E -8.56%K -13.12%G +0.000%21.2%2026-04-18 15:10
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -14.06%E -5.98%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -12.41%E -5.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -11.06%E -3.25%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-18 14:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.42%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-04-18 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-04-18 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-04-18 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.59%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-04-18 16:00
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.1%2026-04-18 16:00
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.91%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-04-18 16:00