Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.75
assuming max odds 1.59
assuming max odds 4.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Westerlo (Local): 17.88%; Club Brugge (Visit): 61.39%; Draw: 20.73%. For Westerlo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.59. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.81%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.89%EV +2.81%E +0.489%K +0.592%G +0.017% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.08%EV -5.46%E -3.54%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.03%EV +0.531%E +0.110%K +0.138%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.89%EV +2.81%E +0.489%K +0.592%G +0.017% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.08%EV -5.46%E -3.54%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.03%EV +0.531%E +0.110%K +0.138%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +2.81%E +0.489%K +0.592%G +0.017% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.96%EV -6.07%E -3.97%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.28%EV -1.54%E -0.325%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +2.81%E +0.489%K +0.592%G +0.017% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.96%EV -6.07%E -3.97%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.28%EV -1.54%E -0.325%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV +0.128%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.86%EV -7.30%E -4.83%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -2.58%E -0.548%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV +0.128%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.86%EV -7.30%E -4.83%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -2.58%E -0.548%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +0.128%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -8.53%E -5.72%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +0.128%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -8.53%E -5.72%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +0.128%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -8.53%E -5.72%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +0.128%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -8.53%E -5.72%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.37%EV -0.409%E -0.073%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.39%E -1.50%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.79%EV -7.97%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -1.66%E -0.302%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%EV -4.23%E -2.71%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -1.66%E -0.302%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.66%E -0.302%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -9.14%E -6.18%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.66%E -0.302%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -9.14%E -6.18%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.66%E -0.302%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -9.14%E -6.18%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.66%E -0.302%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -10.98%E -7.57%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.73%EV -2.73%E -0.502%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.83%EV -4.23%E -2.71%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.44%EV -2.16%E -0.458%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -3.45%E -0.639%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -12.21%E -8.54%K -28.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 19:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -3.45%E -0.639%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -12.21%E -8.54%K -28.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.64%EV -4.34%E -0.812%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.90%EV -4.84%E -3.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.64%EV -4.34%E -0.812%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.90%EV -4.84%E -3.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -8.80%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.45%EV -4.34%E -0.812%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.81%EV -7.30%E -4.83%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.13%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -5.46%E -3.54%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -6.13%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -5.46%E -3.54%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -6.13%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.73%EV -6.68%E -4.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.13%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -6.07%E -3.97%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 19:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.13%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -6.68%E -4.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.13%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.13%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -7.02%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -2.58%E -0.548%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 18:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -7.02%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.78%EV -7.30%E -4.83%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 19:28 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -10.60%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.24%EV -4.84%E -3.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -0.505%E -0.105%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -10.60%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -5.46%E -3.54%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.54%E -0.325%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.60%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -4.84%E -3.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.60%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -4.84%E -3.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -10.60%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -5.46%E -3.54%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 19:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -10.60%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -5.46%E -3.54%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 19:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -10.60%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -5.46%E -3.54%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.60%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.25%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 19:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.60%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.25%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.60%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.25%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.60%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.25%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.60%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.38%EV -13.28%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.64%EV -9.75%E -6.64%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.98%EV -11.91%E -2.80%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-14 19:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -14.18%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.34%EV -14.18%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.70%EV -10.98%E -7.57%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -14.18%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.02%EV -11.60%E -8.05%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.67%EV -11.91%E -2.80%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-14 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -15.07%E -3.17%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -10.25%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -15.07%E -3.17%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -11.60%E -8.05%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -10.25%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -17.75%E -3.86%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -7.91%E -5.27%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.90%EV -17.75%E -3.86%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.39%EV -11.60%E -8.05%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -19.54%E -4.34%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.93%EV -9.75%E -6.64%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.49%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.48%EV -19.54%E -4.34%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 57.76%EV -11.60%E -8.05%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -27.45%E -7.84%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.83% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.35% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.17% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.17% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.32% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.10% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.32% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.10% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.63% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.16% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |