Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.51
assuming max odds 7.32
assuming max odds 4.67
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union Saint-Gilloise (Local): 65.02%; SV Zulte-Waregem (Visit): 13.92%; Draw: 21.06%. For SV Zulte-Waregem (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.18. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.89%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.29%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 7.32I 13.66%NM 13.13%EV +1.89%E +0.259%K +0.299%G +0.006% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV -1.66%E -0.356%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.03%EV -5.07%E -3.47%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 7.31I 13.68%NM 13.19%EV +1.75%E +0.240%K +0.278%G +0.005% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.78%EV -2.29%E -0.494%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.16%EV -1.82%E -1.20%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.42%EV +0.501%E +0.069%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.43%EV -9.03%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.79%EV -7.67%E -5.40%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.98%EV +0.222%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV +0.222%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.31%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV +0.222%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -2.56%E -0.366%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -3.14%E -0.682%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -2.56%E -0.366%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -2.56%E -0.366%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.56%E -0.366%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 13:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.56%E -0.366%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.56%E -0.366%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:47 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.13%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.70%EV -5.35%E -0.786%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.13%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.70%EV -5.35%E -0.786%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.47%E -1.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV -6.04%E -0.895%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.47%E -1.64%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV -6.04%E -0.895%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.43%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -6.04%E -0.895%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.06%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -6.04%E -0.895%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -6.04%E -0.895%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.67%E -5.40%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -6.04%E -0.895%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -8.83%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -6.29%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -9.52%E -1.46%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -9.52%E -1.46%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.52%E -1.46%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -9.52%E -1.46%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -9.52%E -1.46%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.97%E -6.41%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.52%E -1.46%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.97%E -6.41%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.52%E -1.46%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.57%E -8.51%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -9.52%E -1.46%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -11.57%E -8.51%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -9.52%E -1.46%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -11.57%E -8.51%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -9.52%E -1.46%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -10.91%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -10.51%E -2.47%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV -10.91%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV -10.91%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV -10.91%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV -10.91%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.91%EV -8.97%E -6.41%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.20%EV -10.91%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -8.40%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -10.27%E -7.44%K -27.02%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.07%EV -10.91%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -8.40%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.92%EV -10.92%E -7.97%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.90%EV -10.91%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -13.00%E -2.08%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.53%EV -8.97%E -6.41%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.23%EV -13.00%E -2.08%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -15.09%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -15.09%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -15.09%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -15.09%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.48%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.48%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.48%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -16.48%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.17%EV -7.67%E -5.40%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV -16.48%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -13.66%E -3.33%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%EV -16.48%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.99%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%EV -16.48%E -2.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.80%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.46%EV -17.87%E -3.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 13:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -8.97%E -6.41%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -19.27%E -3.32%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.37% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.74% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.59% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |