The School of Odds
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Union Saint-Gilloise v SV Zulte-Waregem

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)

Prediction 69.76%1.43fair odd
EV -5.13%
Edge -3.77%
Kelly -14.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.06%69.77%69.57%70.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.321.331.3679.37%75.54%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SV Zulte-Waregem (Visit)

Prediction 11.16%8.96fair odd
EV +1.52%
Edge +0.167%
Kelly +0.188%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 9.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.34%11.13%11.42%12.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.758.148.009.1014.81%12.29%12.50%10.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.09%5.24fair odd
EV +0.210%
Edge +0.040%
Kelly +0.049%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.85%19.10%19.01%20.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.814.855.2523.53%20.79%20.62%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Union Saint-Gilloise (Local): 69.76%; SV Zulte-Waregem (Visit): 11.16%; Draw: 19.09%. For SV Zulte-Waregem (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.96. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.10, producing a positive expected value of +1.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.25%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.34%EV +1.52%E +0.167%K +0.188%G +0.003%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.41%EV -7.43%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 15:09
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.25%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.34%EV +1.52%E +0.167%K +0.188%G +0.003%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.41%EV -7.43%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.42%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +0.405%E +0.045%K +0.051%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +0.405%E +0.045%K +0.051%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 14:24
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.99%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.82%EV -1.83%E -0.208%K -0.234%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.19%EV -5.33%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.82%EV -4.06%E -0.472%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -7.43%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 14:39
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.32%E -7.17%K -31.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.17%E -0.609%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:24
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -10.01%E -7.76%K -34.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -5.17%E -0.609%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 14:24
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.23%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -7.96%E -0.965%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.19%EV +0.210%E +0.040%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 15:04
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -10.75%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV +0.210%E +0.040%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.75%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.75%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.56%E -0.912%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 17:14
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -10.75%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV +0.210%E +0.040%K +0.049%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 14:48
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -10.75%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -12.20%E -2.65%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 14:09
Suprabets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -10.75%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -14.11%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 14:09
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.42%EV -12.11%E -9.61%K -46.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -10.75%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -8.38%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 14:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 68.18%EV -8.62%E -6.58%K -27.80%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.52%EV -13.54%E -1.75%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -16.01%E -3.64%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 14:06
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.77%EV -10.01%E -7.76%K -34.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.66%EV -16.33%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.57%EV -18.88%E -4.44%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-08 14:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.51%EV -9.32%E -7.17%K -31.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -21.91%E -3.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -16.01%E -3.64%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 14:09
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -10.01%E -7.76%K -34.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -21.91%E -3.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -14.11%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.06%EV -10.01%E -7.76%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.82%EV -24.70%E -3.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.12%EV -17.92%E -4.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-08 14:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 67.04%6.67I 14.99%NM 13.37%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.60%12.2%2026-08-08 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-08 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 14:19