Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Union Saint-Gilloise v Sint Truiden

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)

Prévision 58.46%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -4.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.71%58.43%58.45%59.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.601.6666.67%63.18%62.70%60.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sint Truiden (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.85%5.60cote équitable
EV +4.96%
Avantage +0.844%
Kelly +1.02%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 5.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.51%17.85%17.87%19.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.255.255.8822.22%19.03%19.05%17.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.69%4.22cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.699%
Kelly -0.924%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.05%23.72%23.68%25.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.883.904.1030.77%25.80%25.64%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Union Saint-Gilloise (Local) : 58.46% ; Sint Truiden (Visiteur) : 17.85% ; Match nul : 23.69%. Pour Sint Truiden (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.60. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.88, soit une espérance positive de +4.96%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.84%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51%EV +4.96%E +0.844%K +1.02%G +0.050%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.64%EV -6.66%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.49%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +2.64%E +0.459%K +0.556%G +0.015%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.49%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +2.64%E +0.459%K +0.556%G +0.015%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 18:19
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.41%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.94%EV +1.39%E +0.245%K +0.297%G +0.004%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.65%EV -3.58%E -0.879%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -0.038%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -0.038%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -0.038%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:20
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -0.038%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:20
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -0.038%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:20
Suprabets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.16%EV -7.64%E -4.83%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -0.038%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.15%EV -8.31%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:27
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -1.82%E -0.331%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -8.81%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -1.82%E -0.331%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 17:49
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -8.81%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -1.82%E -0.331%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 18:24
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -8.81%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -1.82%E -0.331%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -8.81%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -1.82%E -0.331%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -9.97%E -6.48%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -3.61%E -0.668%K -0.820%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -10.56%E -6.90%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -3.61%E -0.668%K -0.820%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.10%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.76%EV -5.39%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:20
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.10%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.76%EV -5.39%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.63%EV -7.05%E -4.44%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -5.39%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -7.13%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -12.31%E -8.21%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -5.39%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 17:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -12.31%E -8.21%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -5.39%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 17:49
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 18:09
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 15:19
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -7.05%E -4.44%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:00
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.03%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -7.18%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -10.56%E -6.90%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -8.96%E -1.76%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.51%EV -9.26%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 18:19
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 18:34
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 18:34
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.56%E -6.90%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.56%E -6.90%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 17:14
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -14.71%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 17:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.32%EV -11.14%E -7.33%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-04 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -12.31%E -8.21%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -14.71%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 16:14
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.50%EV -2.96%E -1.78%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -12.53%E -2.56%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 09:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -12.53%E -2.56%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 17:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -12.53%E -2.56%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 17:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -8.81%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.53%E -2.56%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 18:09
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -13.43%E -2.77%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -13.53%E -3.71%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -8.81%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -14.32%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 55.71%EV -12.31%E -8.21%K -24.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.57%EV -19.67%E -4.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -23.00%E -7.08%K -10.22%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-04 16:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-04-04 18:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-04-04 18:34
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-04-04 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-04-04 18:40
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-04-04 18:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.23%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.47%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.30%2.9%2026-04-04 18:34