La escuela de los momios

Union Saint-Gilloise v Sint Truiden

Inicio: 2026-04-04 18:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)

Predicción 58.46%1.71momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -4.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.71%58.43%58.45%59.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.601.6666.67%63.18%62.70%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sint Truiden (Visitante)

Predicción 17.85%5.60momio equitativo
EV +4.96%
Ventaja +0.844%
Kelly +1.02%
Crecimiento +0.050%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.51%17.85%17.87%19.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.255.255.8822.22%19.03%19.05%17.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.69%4.22momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -0.699%
Kelly -0.924%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.05%23.72%23.68%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.883.904.1030.77%25.80%25.64%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.84%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51%EV +4.96%E +0.844%K +1.02%G +0.050%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.64%EV -6.66%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 18:34
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.49%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +2.64%E +0.459%K +0.556%G +0.015%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 18:20
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.49%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +2.64%E +0.459%K +0.556%G +0.015%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.86%E -0.699%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 18:19
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.41%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.94%EV +1.39%E +0.245%K +0.297%G +0.004%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.65%EV -3.58%E -0.879%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -0.038%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -0.038%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:20
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -0.038%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:20
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -0.038%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:20
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -0.038%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:20
Suprabets1.58I 63.29%NM 59.16%EV -7.64%E -4.83%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -0.038%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.15%EV -8.31%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:27
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -1.82%E -0.331%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:09
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.75%EV -8.81%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -1.82%E -0.331%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 17:49
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -8.81%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -1.82%E -0.331%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 18:24
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -8.81%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -1.82%E -0.331%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 18:20
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -8.81%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -1.82%E -0.331%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -9.97%E -6.48%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -3.61%E -0.668%K -0.820%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 18:20
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -10.56%E -6.90%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -3.61%E -0.668%K -0.820%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:20
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.10%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.76%EV -5.39%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:20
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.10%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.76%EV -5.39%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:20
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.63%EV -7.05%E -4.44%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -5.39%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -7.13%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -12.31%E -8.21%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -5.39%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 17:49
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -12.31%E -8.21%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -5.39%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 17:49
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 14:15
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 18:09
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 15:19
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:00
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -5.88%E -3.65%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 18:00
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -7.05%E -4.44%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 16:00
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:00
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.03%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.30%E -3.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -7.18%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -10.56%E -6.90%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -8.96%E -1.76%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.51%EV -9.26%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 18:19
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 18:34
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 18:39
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 18:34
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 18:34
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.22%E -5.24%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 15:20
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.56%E -6.90%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 18:20
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.56%E -6.90%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 17:14
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -9.39%E -6.06%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -14.71%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 17:14
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.32%EV -11.14%E -7.33%K -21.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -12.34%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-04 18:34
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -12.31%E -8.21%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -14.71%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 16:14
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 56.50%EV -2.96%E -1.78%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -12.53%E -2.56%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 09:40
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -12.53%E -2.56%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 17:44
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -3.54%E -2.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -12.53%E -2.56%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 17:44
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -8.81%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.53%E -2.56%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 18:09
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -6.47%E -4.04%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -13.43%E -2.77%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -13.53%E -3.71%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -8.81%E -5.64%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -14.32%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.71%EV -12.31%E -8.21%K -24.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.57%EV -19.67%E -4.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -23.00%E -7.08%K -10.22%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-04 16:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-04-04 18:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-04-04 18:34
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-04-04 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-04-04 18:40
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-04-04 18:40
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.23%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.47%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.30%2.9%2026-04-04 18:34