L’École des cotes

Union Saint-Gilloise v Gent

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 18:30 UTC

Score final : Union Saint-Gilloise 0–0 Gent

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)

Prévision 68.34%1.46cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -2.58%
Kelly -8.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.96%68.15%68.40%69.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.361.361.4178.13%73.76%73.53%70.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gent (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.78%9.28cote équitable
EV +1.87%
Avantage +0.197%
Kelly +0.221%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 9.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.23%10.97%10.76%12.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.758.468.509.4514.81%11.82%11.76%10.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.88%4.79cote équitable
EV +2.30%
Avantage +0.469%
Kelly +0.589%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.76%20.88%20.83%22.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.484.504.9026.67%22.34%22.22%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 69.38%EV -4.32%E -3.08%K -10.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.79%EV -2.99%E -0.332%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.82%EV +2.30%E +0.469%K +0.589%G +0.014%2.9%2026-04-22 18:19
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.38%EV -4.32%E -3.08%K -10.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.79%EV -2.99%E -0.332%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.82%EV +2.30%E +0.469%K +0.589%G +0.014%2.9%2026-04-22 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.97%EV -5.69%E -4.12%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV +0.208%E +0.043%K +0.055%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.97%EV -5.69%E -4.12%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV +0.208%E +0.043%K +0.055%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 18:19
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -2.99%E -0.332%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -0.835%E -0.176%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 17:39
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.14%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -0.835%E -0.176%K -0.223%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 18:19
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.14%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -0.835%E -0.176%K -0.223%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 18:19
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.14%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -0.835%E -0.176%K -0.223%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 18:19
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -7.74%E -5.73%K -22.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -1.88%E -0.400%K -0.508%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:19
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -7.74%E -5.73%K -22.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -1.88%E -0.400%K -0.508%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:19
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -7.74%E -5.73%K -22.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -1.88%E -0.400%K -0.508%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:19
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.79%EV -3.64%E -2.58%K -8.87%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 10.26%EV +1.87%E +0.197%K +0.221%G +0.004%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.95%EV -3.34%E -0.722%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 18:19
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.82%EV -4.32%E -3.08%K -10.80%G +0.000%9.42I 10.62%NM 10.23%EV +1.54%E +0.164%K +0.183%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.95%EV -3.97%E -0.862%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 18:19
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.50%EV -4.32%E -3.08%K -10.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.66%EV -2.99%E -0.332%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.85%EV -3.97%E -0.862%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 17:50
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.91%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -5.68%E -0.649%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -3.97%E -0.862%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:49
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -3.97%E -0.862%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -3.97%E -0.862%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -3.97%E -0.862%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:49
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.37%E -4.65%K -17.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -13.76%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.97%E -0.862%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -9.10%E -6.84%K -27.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -3.97%E -0.862%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 18:19
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.87%EV -9.79%E -7.41%K -30.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -13.76%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -3.97%E -0.862%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 18:19
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.69%E -4.12%K -14.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -2.99%E -0.332%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:14
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 68.07%EV -5.69%E -4.12%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:23
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 68.07%EV -5.69%E -4.12%K -14.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 18:24
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -2.99%E -0.332%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:17
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.56%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.72%EV -6.22%E -0.715%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:24
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 68.48%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.83%EV -7.30%E -0.848%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:14
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 68.48%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.83%EV -7.30%E -0.848%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:14
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 68.48%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.83%EV -7.30%E -0.848%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:14
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 17:54
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -7.74%E -5.73%K -22.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.53%EV -21.85%E -3.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 18:24
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.15%E -8.58%K -37.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -13.76%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 18:19
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.15%E -8.58%K -37.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -13.76%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 18:19
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -5.69%E -4.12%K -14.96%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.35%EV -1.91%E -0.210%K -0.235%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -8.14%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:14
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -5.69%E -4.12%K -14.96%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.35%EV -1.91%E -0.210%K -0.235%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -8.14%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:14
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.17%EV -5.69%E -4.12%K -14.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.99%E -0.332%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -8.14%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 17:49
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -6.37%E -4.65%K -17.21%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.67%EV -5.68%E -0.649%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.14%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:49
Suprabets1.36I 73.53%NM 68.56%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.25%EV -1.91%E -0.210%K -0.235%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.14%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:03
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.48%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -2.99%E -0.332%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -8.14%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:04
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -8.42%E -6.28%K -24.76%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.64%EV -15.92%E -2.04%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -8.14%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.82%EV -7.74%E -5.73%K -22.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.44%EV -21.85%E -3.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.74%EV -9.19%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-22 18:23
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -13.76%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -9.60%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 18:15
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -11.15%E -8.58%K -37.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -13.76%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -9.60%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.82%EV -6.37%E -4.65%K -17.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -2.99%E -0.332%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.27%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 17:49
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.39%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 10:53
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.39%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 18:04
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.39%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 18:04
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.39%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 18:04
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.39%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.37%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 18:04
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.93%EV -11.15%E -8.58%K -37.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.04%EV -13.76%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -11.15%E -8.58%K -37.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -19.15%E -2.55%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 18:14
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.23%EV -9.79%E -7.41%K -30.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.95%EV -27.24%E -4.04%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-22 18:24
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 68.27%EV -12.52%E -9.78%K -44.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -13.76%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.81%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-22 18:14
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 66.59%EV -7.05%E -5.19%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -13.76%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -14.41%E -3.51%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 65.96%EV -11.84%E -9.18%K -40.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.35%EV -19.15%E -2.55%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.69%EV -21.71%E -5.79%K -7.90%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-22 18:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.32%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%0.9%2026-04-22 18:24
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.27%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-04-22 18:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.27%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-04-22 18:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.27%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-04-22 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.27%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-04-22 18:24
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.85%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.37%2.3%2026-04-22 18:15