Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Union Saint-Gilloise v Cercle Brugge KSV

2026-10-25 18:15 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

71%

11%

18%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)

Prediction 71.12%1.41fair odd

EV -5.42%

Edge -4.07%

Kelly -16.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.12%71.12%71.12%73.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.251.281.281.3380.00%77.82%78.13%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit)

Prediction 11.38%8.79fair odd

EV +8.10%

Edge +0.852%

Kelly +0.953%

Growth +0.077%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.22%11.38%11.38%11.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

8.008.328.009.5012.50%12.02%12.50%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.51%5.71fair odd

EV +1.53%

Edge +0.264%

Kelly +0.319%

Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 5.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

16.75%17.51%17.51%17.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.105.325.205.8019.61%18.79%19.23%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Union Saint-Gilloise (Local): 71.12%; Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit): 11.38%; Draw: 17.51%. For Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.79. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.50, producing a positive expected value of +8.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
Svenska Spel🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 73.03%EV -5.42%E -4.07%K -16.41%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV +8.10%E +0.852%K +0.953%G +0.077%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.75%EV +1.53%E +0.264%K +0.319%G +0.005%	3.0%	2026-10-17 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 73.03%EV -5.42%E -4.07%K -16.41%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV +8.10%E +0.852%K +0.953%G +0.077%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.75%EV +1.53%E +0.264%K +0.319%G +0.005%	3.0%	2026-10-17 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.55%E -5.81%K -25.16%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -3.28%E -0.386%K -0.438%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.72%E -0.676%K -0.827%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-17 16:20
Casumo🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.55%E -5.81%K -25.16%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -3.28%E -0.386%K -0.438%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.72%E -0.676%K -0.827%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-17 16:15
betPARX🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.55%E -5.81%K -25.16%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -3.28%E -0.386%K -0.438%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.72%E -0.676%K -0.827%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-17 16:15
Unibet🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -8.97%E -7.01%K -32.04%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -8.97%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-10-17 16:15
TABtouch🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -8.97%E -7.01%K -32.04%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -8.97%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-10-17 16:20
BetRivers🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -8.97%E -7.01%K -32.04%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -8.97%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-10-17 16:15
Grosvenor🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -8.97%E -7.01%K -32.04%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -8.97%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-10-17 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -8.97%E -7.01%K -32.04%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -8.97%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-10-17 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 71.20%EV -10.39%E -8.25%K -39.98%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -10.72%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-10-17 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 71.20%EV -10.39%E -8.25%K -39.98%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -10.72%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-10-17 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 71.20%EV -10.39%E -8.25%K -39.98%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -10.72%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-10-17 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 71.36%EV -11.11%E -8.88%K -44.42%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -10.72%E -2.10%K -2.62%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-10-17 16:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.