Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Zulte-Waregem v Gent

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 18:46 UTC

Final: SV Zulte-Waregem 0–2 Gent

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Zulte-Waregem (Local)

Prediction 33.53%2.98fair odd
EV +0.927%
Edge +0.308%
Kelly +0.461%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.90%33.56%33.53%35.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.753.0138.46%36.06%36.36%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gent (Visit)

Prediction 36.10%2.77fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.669%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.92%36.07%36.09%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.542.552.7245.45%39.34%39.22%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.37%3.29fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.876%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.78%30.37%30.38%31.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.053.2035.71%32.99%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SV Zulte-Waregem (Local): 33.53%; Gent (Visit): 36.10%; Draw: 30.37%. For SV Zulte-Waregem (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.927%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV +0.927%E +0.308%K +0.461%G +0.004%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.81%EV -8.32%E -3.27%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.29%EV -3.71%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -1.08%E -0.368%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.94%EV -6.15%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -1.08%E -0.368%K -0.556%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.94%EV -6.15%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -2.76%E -0.952%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -2.76%E -0.952%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 18:25
Pinnacle🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.63%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.61%EV -1.82%E -0.669%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.75%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 18:40
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.01%EV -3.77%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.15%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.84%EV -4.10%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -5.43%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.84%EV -4.10%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -5.43%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 18:35
BetAnything🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.84%EV -4.10%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -5.43%E -2.07%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.35%E -1.64%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:50
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.15%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.15%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:20
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:20
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.15%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.15%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.15%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 17:30
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -10.48%E -4.23%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -10.40%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 18:20
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -10.40%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 18:20
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -10.40%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -6.79%E -2.44%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -3.26%E -1.22%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.49%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 18:35
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -6.79%E -2.44%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -3.26%E -1.22%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.49%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.15%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:30
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.15%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:35
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.15%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:39
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.74%EV -12.29%E -5.06%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -11.92%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.74%EV -12.29%E -5.06%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -11.92%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.74%EV -12.29%E -5.06%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -11.92%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 18:20
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -6.15%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.15%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 18:15
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 17:30
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 18:34
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 18:35
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.96%E -3.12%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -11.92%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.09%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.92%EV -12.65%E -5.23%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.98%EV -9.49%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -20.59%E -9.36%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-10 18:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.39%EV -10.47%E -3.92%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.09%EV -10.84%E -4.39%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.53%EV -11.31%E -3.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-10 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -11.14%E -4.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 17:30
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.81%E -4.49%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-10 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.81%E -4.49%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.76%E -3.90%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-10 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -12.15%E -4.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.15%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 18:24
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -12.15%E -4.64%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.15%E -2.37%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%EV -12.82%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.49%EV -11.57%E -4.72%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.06%EV -14.95%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-10 18:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-10-10 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-10-10 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-10-10 18:35
Matchbook◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%0.8%2026-10-10 18:35
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%1.7%2026-10-10 18:40
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.35%2.0%2026-10-10 17:50