Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Standard Liege v SK Beveren

2026-11-06 19:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Standard Liege (Local)

Prediction 53.48%1.87fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -5.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.80%53.48%53.48%54.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.691.681.7963.69%59.19%59.52%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SK Beveren (Visit)

Prediction 22.39%4.47fair odd
EV +0.746%
Edge +0.166%
Kelly +0.213%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.55%22.39%22.39%23.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.094.104.5027.40%24.48%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.14%4.14fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.255%
Kelly -0.337%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.40%24.14%24.14%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.793.754.1027.78%26.38%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Standard Liege (Local): 53.48%; SK Beveren (Visit): 22.39%; Draw: 24.14%. For SK Beveren (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.47. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.50, producing a positive expected value of +0.746%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%EV +0.746%E +0.166%K +0.213%G +0.002%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-30 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%EV +0.746%E +0.166%K +0.213%G +0.002%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.04%E -0.255%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-30 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -8.02%E -4.66%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -4.85%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 20:40
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -8.02%E -4.66%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -4.85%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 20:40
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -8.02%E -4.66%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -4.85%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 20:40
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.42%EV -4.28%E -2.39%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.55%EV -5.07%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.03%EV -3.94%E -0.990%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-30 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -9.09%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -8.21%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 20:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -9.09%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -8.21%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 20:40
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -9.09%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -8.21%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 20:40
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -10.16%E -6.05%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -8.21%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-30 21:34
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -10.16%E -6.05%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -8.21%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-30 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.69%E -6.40%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.45%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -10.70%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-30 20:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.69%E -6.40%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.45%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -10.70%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-30 20:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.69%E -6.40%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.45%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -10.70%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-30 20:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.63%EV -11.76%E -7.13%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -10.45%E -2.61%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.24%EV -11.91%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-30 20:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.42%EV -12.30%E -7.50%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.58%EV -13.13%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.00%EV -11.91%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-30 20:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.41%EV -16.04%E -10.22%K -28.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.19%EV -13.81%E -3.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.40%EV -11.91%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-30 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.04%EV -11.23%E -6.76%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -16.04%E -4.28%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-30 20:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.80%EV -13.37%E -8.25%K -21.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.44%EV -18.28%E -5.01%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-30 20:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.