Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Standard Liege v Royal Antwerp

Início: 2026-09-05 18:45 UTC

Final: Standard Liege 1–0 Royal Antwerp

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Standard Liege (Local)

Previsão 43.53%2.30odd justa
EV -2.92%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -2.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.36%43.49%43.57%44.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.132.122.2348.78%46.98%47.17%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Royal Antwerp (Visitante)

Previsão 29.46%3.40odd justa
EV +0.147%
Vantagem +0.043%
Kelly +0.061%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.22%29.41%29.41%30.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.143.123.4034.48%31.82%32.05%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.01%3.70odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -0.766%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.09%27.09%27.02%28.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.363.353.6032.26%29.79%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Standard Liege (Local): 43.53%; Royal Antwerp (Visitante): 29.46%; Empate: 27.01%. Para Royal Antwerp (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.395. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.400, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.147%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.07%EV -2.92%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV +0.147%E +0.043%K +0.061%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 09:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.07%EV -2.92%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV +0.147%E +0.043%K +0.061%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.07%EV -2.92%E -1.31%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV +0.147%E +0.043%K +0.061%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 09:54
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.73%EV -7.27%E -3.41%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -1.33%E -0.396%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -4.11%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:15
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.82%EV -2.50%E -0.756%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.02%EV -4.65%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 14:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.80%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 06:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -5.97%E -2.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -2.80%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 09:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -5.97%E -2.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -2.80%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 09:54
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -5.97%E -2.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -2.80%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 09:55
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -5.97%E -2.76%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -2.80%E -0.848%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 09:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.19%EV -8.14%E -3.86%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 10:00
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 08:35
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 08:35
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -14.91%E -4.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 09:54
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -14.91%E -4.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 09:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -14.91%E -4.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 09:54
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.74%E -1.79%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -14.91%E -4.73%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 09:55
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:05
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:14
BetAnything🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -7.71%E -3.64%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Suprabets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.86%EV -9.01%E -4.31%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.04%EV -8.43%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 10:38
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.45%E -4.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -7.22%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.26%E -5.25%K -7.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.68%EV -9.45%E -4.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.03%EV -7.81%E -2.49%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.29%EV -10.05%E -3.02%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 07:03
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -8.10%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 00:19
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -8.10%E -2.60%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 00:15
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.76%E -0.766%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 02:00
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.76%E -0.766%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 02:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.76%E -0.766%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 03:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 07:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 07:49
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -5.53%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 18:54
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 11:20
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 11:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -10.32%E -5.01%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.26%E -5.25%K -7.75%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 09:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -10.32%E -5.01%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.69%E -2.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -16.26%E -5.25%K -7.75%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 09:54
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 03:49
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 03:49
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 17:10
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.21%EV -9.45%E -4.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 08:35
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.63%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.56%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 18:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.11%E -4.44%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 17:10
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.58%E -5.03%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.72%EV -9.89%E -4.78%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.49%EV -14.58%E -5.03%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 11:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 42.90%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%5.0%2026-09-04 14:15
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%6.0%2026-09-04 14:05
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%7.7%2026-09-04 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%9.1%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%9.1%2026-09-04 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 45.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%12.0%2026-09-04 13:25