L’École des cotes

Standard Liege v Leuven

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 18:45 UTC

Score final : Standard Liege 2–1 Leuven

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Standard Liege (Local)

Prévision 48.71%2.05cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -2.05%
Kelly -4.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.95%48.65%48.76%50.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.901.911.9757.80%52.56%52.36%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leuven (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.91%4.01cote équitable
EV +3.88%
Avantage +0.931%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.048%

avec la cote maximale 4.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.30%24.90%24.86%26.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.723.734.1729.41%26.88%26.85%23.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.37%3.79cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.294%
Kelly -0.400%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.54%26.45%26.38%27.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.513.503.7533.33%28.50%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.08%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.30%EV +3.88%E +0.931%K +1.22%G +0.048%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%EV -3.74%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-08 18:40
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.58%EV -2.10%E -0.533%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.39%EV -3.47%E -0.949%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-08 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 18:34
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 18:34
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -6.47%E -3.37%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:34
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -6.47%E -3.37%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:39
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 18:40
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:40
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.08%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -4.34%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:40
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.93%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.70%EV -1.10%E -0.294%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 18:09
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.93%EV -4.03%E -2.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.70%EV -1.10%E -0.294%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 18:09
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 17:59
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 17:59
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 17:59
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 17:59
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.38%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:28
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.38%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:39
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:39
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:39
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:39
Suprabets1.92I 52.08%NM 48.63%EV -6.47%E -3.37%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.77%EV -6.08%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.60%EV -7.43%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.01%E -2.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 18:00
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -6.47%E -3.37%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 17:59
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:34
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.654%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.654%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 18:04
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.74%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:09
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.74%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:09
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -3.74%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:08
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:39
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:39
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 18:39
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 18:04
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -6.47%E -3.37%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -3.74%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 18:10
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:09
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:09
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:09
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -8.42%E -4.48%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.65%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.42%E -4.48%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:09
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:39
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.30%EV -8.42%E -4.48%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.47%EV -9.54%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:19
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 18:03
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.31%E -6.84%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 18:14
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.70%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.38%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:09
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:09
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -9.88%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:09
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.78%EV -11.83%E -6.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.87%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.35%EV -11.65%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 18:39
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -7.44%E -3.92%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:04
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.12%EV -9.39%E -5.05%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -14.05%E -4.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 47.95%EV -15.72%E -9.09%K -21.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.40%EV -15.30%E -4.50%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.65%EV -20.88%E -6.96%K -10.44%G +0.000%20.5%2026-05-08 18:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-05-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-05-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-05-08 18:39
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-05-08 18:39
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-08 18:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-08 18:34