The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Standard Liege v KV Kortrijk

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 17:17 UTC

Final: Standard Liege 1–1 KV Kortrijk

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Standard Liege (Local)

Prediction 57.90%1.73fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -4.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.77%58.01%58.00%59.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.591.601.6768.49%62.77%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KV Kortrijk (Visit)

Prediction 18.94%5.28fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +0.425%
Kelly +0.522%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.64%18.83%18.90%19.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.894.855.4022.73%20.46%20.62%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.16%4.32fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.650%
Kelly -0.853%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.52%23.16%23.09%24.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.964.004.2027.03%25.26%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Standard Liege (Local): 57.90%; KV Kortrijk (Visit): 18.94%; Draw: 23.16%. For KV Kortrijk (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.28. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.03%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +2.30%E +0.425%K +0.522%G +0.012%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.05%EV -2.73%E -0.650%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-31 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.95%EV -5.05%E -3.08%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.97%EV +1.92%E +0.357%K +0.438%G +0.008%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.08%EV -2.96%E -0.707%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-31 17:00
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.93%EV -3.89%E -2.34%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.91%EV +1.73%E +0.322%K +0.396%G +0.007%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.16%EV -7.82%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-31 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -9.10%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV +0.403%E +0.076%K +0.094%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.28%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.54%EV -0.544%E -0.104%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%EV -2.73%E -0.650%K -0.853%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-31 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.28%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.54%EV -0.544%E -0.104%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%EV -2.73%E -0.650%K -0.853%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-31 17:10
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -9.10%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -0.544%E -0.104%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 12:43
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -9.10%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -0.544%E -0.104%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 12:43
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -1.49%E -0.287%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -1.49%E -0.287%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -1.49%E -0.287%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 17:10
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -5.28%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.73%E -0.650%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.28%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.28%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 12:45
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.28%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.28%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.28%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:45
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.28%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 16:50
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.28%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.28%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.20%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.81%EV -6.23%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.20%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 12:20
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -7.17%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -3.89%E -0.937%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -7.17%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -3.89%E -0.937%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 16:35
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.17%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.17%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 16:35
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -7.17%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -8.12%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 16:34
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.07%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 16:35
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.07%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.07%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.07%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.02%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.02%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.10%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -10.02%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.99%E -3.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -10.02%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -11.42%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -10.02%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.99%E -3.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-31 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -11.42%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -10.02%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.99%E -3.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-31 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.78%EV -12.00%E -7.89%K -23.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.49%EV -10.02%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -14.31%E -3.87%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-31 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.95%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -10.96%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.84%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.95%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -10.96%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.84%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.95%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -10.96%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -10.84%E -2.81%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 16:35
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -10.96%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.99%E -3.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -10.96%E -2.33%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.99%E -3.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 17:10
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.37%E -4.60%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -12.86%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -8.52%E -5.39%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -12.86%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -7.36%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.84%EV -8.52%E -5.39%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -12.86%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.99%E -3.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.84%EV -8.52%E -5.39%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -12.86%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.99%E -3.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -9.10%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -12.86%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.99%E -3.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-31 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.98%EV -9.68%E -6.21%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.32%EV -12.86%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.45%EV -11.42%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -12.86%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-31 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.61%EV -12.00%E -7.89%K -23.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -12.86%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.35%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-31 16:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 58.59%EV -15.47%E -10.60%K -33.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.60%EV -12.86%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.81%EV -13.15%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-31 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.29%EV -12.00%E -7.89%K -23.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.79%EV -16.65%E -3.78%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.92%EV -11.99%E -3.16%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-31 12:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-10-31 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-10-31 17:00
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-10-31 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-10-31 17:10
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-10-31 17:10
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.55%1.9%2026-10-31 15:20

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.