Language:English
Standard Liege v Genk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Standard Liege (Local)
Prediction 29.94%3.34fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.638%
Kelly -0.919%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.51%29.98%30.01%30.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.073.053.2734.72%32.61%32.79%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Genk (Visit)
Prediction 43.78%2.28fair odd
EV +0.704%
Edge +0.306%
Kelly +0.542%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.61%43.75%43.87%44.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.142.152.3052.36%46.80%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.27%3.81fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.609%
Kelly -0.833%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.76%26.26%26.11%28.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.463.503.7234.72%28.90%28.57%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Standard Liege (Local): 29.94%; Genk (Visit): 43.78%; Draw: 26.27%. For Genk (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.704%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -4.18%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.09%EV +0.704%E +0.306%K +0.542%G +0.004% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -2.69%E -0.826%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.15%EV -1.48%E -0.660%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.41%EV -4.48%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.51%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.08%EV -2.27%E -0.609%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.67%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -11.99%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.67%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -2.36%E -1.06%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -11.99%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -2.80%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -2.80%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -2.80%E -1.26%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.60%EV -2.09%E -0.638%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.80%EV -3.24%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -8.67%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -3.67%E -1.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -11.67%E -3.96%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -4.99%E -2.30%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -14.61%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -11.67%E -3.96%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -4.99%E -2.30%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -14.61%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -11.67%E -3.96%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -4.99%E -2.30%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -14.61%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.68%E -1.80%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.67%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:13 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:13 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -11.67%E -3.96%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -15.93%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -4.78%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.82%EV -6.74%E -3.16%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -8.57%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.40%EV -4.78%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.11%EV -7.18%E -3.39%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.49%EV -7.26%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.61%EV -11.07%E -3.73%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.88%EV -7.18%E -3.39%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.51%EV -9.89%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 16:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -13.17%E -4.54%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.78%EV -7.18%E -3.39%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -15.93%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.69%E -0.826%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.18%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.18%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.18%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 16:13 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.18%E -1.31%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -10.24%E -5.00%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -2.79%E -0.755%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -11.67%E -3.96%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -10.24%E -5.00%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 16:13 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.24%E -5.00%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -11.67%E -3.96%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -12.43%E -6.22%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -12.43%E -6.22%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.17%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -12.43%E -6.22%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -13.17%E -4.54%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.18%EV -14.62%E -7.50%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.11%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -13.76%E -4.78%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -16.37%E -8.57%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -24.34%E -8.45%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26% | 1.6% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.17% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.41% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.28% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.32% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.40% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |