La escuela de los momios

Standard Liege v Charleroi

Inicio: 2026-05-23 18:45 UTC

Final: Standard Liege 0–2 Charleroi

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Standard Liege (Local)

Predicción 39.49%2.53momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.506%
Kelly -0.843%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.26%39.61%39.51%43.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.072.312.302.5048.31%43.29%43.48%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Charleroi (Visitante)

Predicción 31.01%3.22momio equitativo
EV +5.44%
Ventaja +1.60%
Kelly +2.27%
Crecimiento +0.123%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.81%30.89%31.03%32.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.603.033.013.4038.46%32.97%33.22%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.49%3.39momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.357%
Kelly -0.509%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.29%29.51%29.46%31.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.113.103.3536.36%32.17%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%EV -9.95%E -4.37%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%EV +5.44%E +1.60%K +2.27%G +0.123%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV -1.20%E -0.357%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%EV -9.95%E -4.37%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%EV +5.44%E +1.60%K +2.27%G +0.123%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV -1.20%E -0.357%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:40
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -15.48%E -7.23%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +3.89%E +1.16%K +1.66%G +0.064%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:36
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -13.11%E -5.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV +0.789%E +0.243%K +0.351%G +0.003%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -13.11%E -5.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV +0.789%E +0.243%K +0.351%G +0.003%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -13.11%E -5.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV +0.789%E +0.243%K +0.351%G +0.003%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 18:39
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -14.30%E -6.59%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -0.761%E -0.238%K -0.346%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:39
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -15.09%E -7.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -2.31%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -15.48%E -7.23%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -2.31%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:40
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -15.48%E -7.23%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -2.31%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:39
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -15.48%E -7.23%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -2.31%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:40
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.77%EV -3.63%E -1.49%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.91%EV -2.62%E -0.835%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.32%EV -2.38%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:39
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.46%EV -3.63%E -1.49%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.86%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:39
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.46%EV -3.63%E -1.49%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.86%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.86%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:38
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -11.14%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.86%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.67%E -0.809%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.19%E -3.06%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.86%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:37
Suprabets2.39I 41.84%NM 39.07%EV -5.61%E -2.35%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -3.86%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.81%EV -10.63%E -3.51%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:37
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.04%EV -16.27%E -7.68%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -3.86%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -10.04%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 18:40
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -17.06%E -8.12%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -3.86%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -10.04%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 18:39
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 38.73%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.83%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -7.69%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 18:40
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -1.26%E -0.506%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -5.41%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -12.11%E -4.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.41%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -2.67%E -0.809%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:40
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -5.41%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -10.04%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 42.22%EV -18.25%E -8.81%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -5.41%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.13%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-23 18:39
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 42.22%EV -18.25%E -8.81%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -5.41%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.13%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-23 18:40
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.03%E -1.66%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.90%EV -6.34%E -2.10%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.70%EV -10.34%E -3.40%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:40
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:39
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:39
BetUS2.46I 40.65%NM 38.07%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -10.04%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:39
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.67%E -0.809%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:39
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:40
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -11.14%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.96%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:40
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -15.09%E -7.02%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.00%EV -7.89%E -2.66%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.56%EV -7.98%E -2.56%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 18:40
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -8.51%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.51%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -13.11%E -5.96%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -8.51%E -2.89%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -1.26%E -0.506%K -0.843%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16%EV -9.44%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:39
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -1.26%E -0.506%K -0.843%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16%EV -9.44%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:39
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.56%EV -11.14%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.48%EV -9.44%E -3.23%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.97%EV -12.40%E -4.18%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-23 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:39
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:39
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:39
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:39
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 18:40
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -6.00%E -2.52%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -15.06%E -5.23%K -8.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 18:39
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.07%E -3.47%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -15.06%E -5.23%K -8.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 18:40
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -5.21%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -11.62%E -4.08%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -11.14%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -11.62%E -4.08%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 18:39
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -9.16%E -3.98%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -13.17%E -4.70%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -17.42%E -6.22%K -9.68%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.26%EV -11.14%E -4.95%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.25%EV -19.37%E -7.45%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.49%EV -18.89%E -6.87%K -10.80%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 39.41%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.30%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.30%-0.9%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%0.2%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-23 18:40
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-23 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.47%1.0%2026-05-23 18:40
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-05-23 18:40