Language:English
Standard Liege v Charleroi
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Standard Liege (Local)
Prediction 34.27%2.92fair odd
EV +0.079%
Edge +0.027%
Kelly +0.041%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.22%34.26%34.24%35.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.722.702.9239.22%36.76%37.04%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Charleroi (Visit)
Prediction 38.30%2.61fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.19%38.35%38.23%41.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.392.402.5447.62%41.86%41.67%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.43%3.65fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.739%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.36%27.40%27.53%28.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.353.5532.26%29.82%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Standard Liege (Local): 34.27%; Charleroi (Visit): 38.30%; Draw: 27.43%. For Standard Liege (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.918. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.920, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.079%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.86%EV +0.079%E +0.027%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -7.32%E -3.03%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.49%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.37%EV -1.29%E -0.449%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.94%E -2.86%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -2.62%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.37%EV -1.29%E -0.449%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.94%E -2.86%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -2.62%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -2.32%E -0.814%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.32%E -0.814%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -10.00%E -4.26%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.43%EV -3.69%E -1.31%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.09%EV -2.73%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.48%EV -3.45%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-11 11:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 04:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 04:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.85%E -3.72%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 04:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 04:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -8.85%E -3.72%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -8.85%E -3.72%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -8.85%E -3.72%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.03%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -8.85%E -3.72%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -4.72%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.18%EV -5.79%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -4.72%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.18%EV -5.79%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -4.72%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.18%EV -5.79%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.73%EV -4.72%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -6.17%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.73%EV -4.72%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -6.17%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 11:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.26%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 09:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.17%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 10:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.17%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 11:22 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -7.46%E -2.76%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.26%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 09:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.46%E -2.76%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.00%E -4.26%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-11 10:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.46%E -2.76%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.00%E -4.26%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -7.46%E -2.76%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -11.15%E -4.81%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -7.46%E -2.76%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -11.15%E -4.81%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -7.46%E -2.76%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -7.46%E -2.76%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -7.46%E -2.76%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -7.46%E -2.76%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -19.58%E -9.32%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -9.18%E -3.46%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.17%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 09:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -9.18%E -3.46%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.14%EV -6.56%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.74%EV -4.54%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-11 09:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -9.18%E -3.46%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -6.17%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-11 09:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -9.18%E -3.46%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.17%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-11 09:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.18%E -3.46%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -10.00%E -4.26%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 11:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -9.18%E -3.46%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.44%EV -9.18%E -3.46%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -12.68%E -5.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-11 10:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -9.86%E -3.75%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -8.85%E -3.72%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.97%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -9.86%E -3.75%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.22%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -14.97%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -10.20%E -3.89%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.17%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 10:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -10.20%E -3.89%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.17%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 10:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -10.20%E -3.89%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.17%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 10:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -10.20%E -3.89%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.17%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 10:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.20%E -3.89%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.00%EV -10.00%E -4.26%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.20%E -3.89%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-11 09:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.85%E -3.72%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -12.60%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -11.92%E -5.18%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -14.97%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 34.00% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 38.00% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.00% | 0.0% | 2026-10-11 08:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |