Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SK Beveren v Union Saint-Gilloise

2026-10-31 19:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SK Beveren (Local)

Prediction 17.55%5.70fair odd
EV +0.921%
Edge +0.160%
Kelly +0.194%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.78%17.55%17.55%18.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.185.105.7520.83%19.31%19.61%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit)

Prediction 60.29%1.66fair odd
EV -5.34%
Edge -3.40%
Kelly -9.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.70%60.29%60.29%61.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.511.521.5771.94%66.34%65.79%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.15%4.51fair odd
EV -0.305%
Edge -0.068%
Kelly -0.087%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.44%22.15%22.15%22.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.144.104.5025.32%24.15%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SK Beveren (Local): 17.55%; Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit): 60.29%; Draw: 22.15%. For SK Beveren (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.70. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.75, producing a positive expected value of +0.921%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.83%EV +0.921%E +0.160%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.65%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV -0.305%E -0.068%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 20:30
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.83%EV +0.921%E +0.160%K +0.194%G +0.002%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.65%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV -0.305%E -0.068%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 20:30
1xBet🎯5.57I 17.95%NM 17.16%EV -2.24%E -0.402%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.27%EV -5.94%E -3.81%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.57%EV -1.86%E -0.419%K -0.541%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 20:11
Unibet (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -7.15%E -4.64%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 20:30
Casumo🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -7.15%E -4.64%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 20:30
betPARX🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -6.98%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -7.15%E -4.64%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -10.49%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.77%EV -7.75%E -5.07%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 20:30
BetRivers🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -10.49%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.77%EV -7.75%E -5.07%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 20:30
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -10.49%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.77%EV -7.75%E -5.07%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 20:30
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -10.49%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.35%E -5.50%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 20:30
TABtouch🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -10.49%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -8.96%E -5.93%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 20:30
Betclic (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.17%EV -10.49%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.82%EV -13.18%E -9.15%K -29.95%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.01%EV -11.83%E -2.97%K -3.97%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-24 19:53
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 16.78%EV -10.49%E -2.06%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 61.56%EV -16.19%E -11.65%K -41.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.66%EV -12.49%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-24 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.56%E -6.37%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.38%E -2.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 20:30
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.56%E -6.37%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.38%E -2.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 20:30
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.56%E -6.37%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.38%E -2.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.72%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.86%EV -10.76%E -7.27%K -22.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.43%EV -12.49%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 20:30
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -14.00%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -12.57%E -8.67%K -27.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -9.17%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-24 20:11
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.07%EV -15.75%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.24%EV -13.18%E -9.15%K -29.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.69%EV -11.38%E -2.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-24 20:11
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.