The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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SK Beveren v Union Saint-Gilloise

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 19:45 UTC

Final: SK Beveren 1–2 Union Saint-Gilloise

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SK Beveren (Local)

Prediction 14.78%6.76fair odd
EV +10.88%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.182%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.96%14.82%14.62%16.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.346.407.5018.87%15.76%15.63%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit)

Prediction 65.31%1.53fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -3.18%
Kelly -10.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.38%65.27%65.46%67.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.401.401.4675.76%71.27%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.90%5.02fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.295%
Kelly +0.367%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.06%19.92%19.92%20.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.614.555.1023.26%21.67%21.98%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SK Beveren (Local): 14.78%; Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit): 65.31%; Draw: 19.90%. For SK Beveren (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.76. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.88%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.96%EV +10.88%E +1.45%K +1.67%G +0.182%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.98%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.06%EV +1.50%E +0.295%K +0.367%G +0.006%2.9%2026-10-31 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.96%EV +10.88%E +1.45%K +1.67%G +0.182%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.98%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.06%EV +1.50%E +0.295%K +0.367%G +0.006%2.9%2026-10-31 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +3.49%E +0.498%K +0.581%G +0.020%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 19:25
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +3.49%E +0.498%K +0.581%G +0.020%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 19:25
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +3.49%E +0.498%K +0.581%G +0.020%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 19:25
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +3.49%E +0.498%K +0.581%G +0.020%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 18:55
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +3.49%E +0.498%K +0.581%G +0.020%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 18:55
NordicBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV +0.531%E +0.078%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.44%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 19:40
Betsson🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.76%EV +0.531%E +0.078%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.44%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 19:39
Tipico (DE)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV +0.531%E +0.078%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -4.47%E -0.930%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -0.208%E -0.031%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.12%EV -7.26%E -5.11%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -6.46%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 17:35
1xBet🎯6.71I 14.90%NM 14.33%EV -0.799%E -0.119%K -0.140%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.85%EV -4.64%E -3.18%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.82%EV -3.47%E -0.716%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-31 19:40
Pinnacle🎯6.66I 15.02%NM 14.52%EV -1.54%E -0.231%K -0.272%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.22%EV -4.64%E -3.18%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.26%EV -0.087%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-31 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.90%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -4.47%E -0.930%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 19:00
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.90%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -4.47%E -0.930%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 19:00
BetMGM🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -3.90%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -4.47%E -0.930%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 19:00
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -3.90%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.26%E -5.11%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 19:00
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.90%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.60%E -4.62%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.90%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.26%E -5.11%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -3.90%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -9.87%E -7.15%K -25.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 19:25
BetRivers🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -3.90%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -9.87%E -7.15%K -25.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 19:25
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -3.90%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -9.87%E -7.15%K -25.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 19:25
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -3.90%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -9.87%E -7.15%K -25.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 19:25
TABtouch🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -3.90%E -0.601%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -9.87%E -7.15%K -25.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.42%EV -4.64%E -0.720%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.41%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -3.47%E -0.716%K -0.902%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -5.38%E -0.841%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.02%EV -11.17%E -8.22%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -5.38%E -0.841%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.02%EV -11.17%E -8.22%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -5.38%E -0.841%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.02%EV -11.17%E -8.22%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -7.60%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 19:00
Neds🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -7.60%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.18%EV -7.60%E -1.22%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.67%EV -11.83%E -8.76%K -33.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -12.43%E -2.82%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-31 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -8.34%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.99%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -6.46%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -8.34%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.99%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -6.46%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 19:35
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -2.48%E -0.505%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -5.30%E -3.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 17:35
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -5.95%E -4.13%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 13:10
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 13:30
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 19:25
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 19:25
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.43%E -2.82%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 19:40
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -11.17%E -8.22%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -12.43%E -2.82%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -11.17%E -8.22%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -13.82%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-31 19:35
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -11.30%E -1.88%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 64.98%EV -11.83%E -8.76%K -33.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -14.42%E -3.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-31 19:30
NetBet (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -12.77%E -2.17%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -11.83%E -8.76%K -33.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -12.43%E -2.82%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-31 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -15.73%E -2.76%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.63%EV -7.91%E -5.61%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -6.46%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -17.21%E -3.07%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 63.97%EV -10.52%E -7.68%K -28.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.38%EV -14.42%E -3.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-31 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.28%EV -17.21%E -3.07%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 64.82%EV -13.79%E -10.44%K -43.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.90%EV -14.42%E -3.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-31 19:25
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -18.69%E -3.40%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-30 23:35
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -18.69%E -3.40%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -8.56%E -6.12%K -21.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -13.82%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-31 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.47%EV -21.64%E -4.08%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 63.70%EV -10.52%E -7.68%K -28.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.83%EV -12.43%E -2.82%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-31 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.96%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.2%2026-10-31 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.12%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95%0.3%2026-10-31 19:40
Matchbook◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.12%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95%0.3%2026-10-31 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%0.7%2026-10-31 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%0.7%2026-10-31 19:35
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.86%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.32%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.81%1.0%2026-10-31 19:25