Language:English
SK Beveren v Lommel SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SK Beveren (Local)
Prediction 51.42%1.94fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.938%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.70%51.32%51.36%52.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.811.801.9158.14%55.40%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lommel SK (Visit)
Prediction 23.91%4.18fair odd
EV -0.521%
Edge -0.125%
Kelly -0.165%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.77%23.95%23.90%25.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.863.904.1628.99%25.91%25.64%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.67%4.05fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.332%
Kelly -0.442%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.75%24.73%24.73%26.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.663.674.0029.41%27.32%27.21%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SK Beveren (Local): 51.42%; Lommel SK (Visit): 23.91%; Draw: 24.67%. For Lommel SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.16, with an expected value of -0.521%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.45%EV -1.79%E -0.938%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV -1.96%E -0.477%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%EV -8.73%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 14:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.45%EV -1.79%E -0.938%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV -1.96%E -0.477%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%EV -8.73%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -3.33%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -9.96%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -3.33%E -1.77%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 12:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.73%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 12:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -12.43%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -12.43%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -12.43%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -4.88%E -2.64%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -12.43%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -1.33%E -0.332%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-05 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -8.73%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 12:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -5.90%E -3.23%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -14.89%E -4.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 14:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.69%EV -4.11%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.11%EV -2.81%E -0.712%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.79%E -0.973%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 01:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -7.93%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -5.03%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 01:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -1.96%E -0.477%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 10:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -1.96%E -0.477%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 10:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -14.89%E -4.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-04 14:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -6.42%E -3.53%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -14.89%E -4.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-04 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.99%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.93%EV -0.521%E -0.125%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.09%EV -2.31%E -0.584%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 10:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-29 20:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.73%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 10:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.73%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 10:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.33%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-29 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 12:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 12:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 12:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.81%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -16.30%E -4.66%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -9.96%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.33%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -16.13%E -4.74%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-04 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.33%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -16.13%E -4.74%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-04 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -7.45%E -4.14%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.33%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -16.13%E -4.74%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-04 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.64%EV -7.96%E -4.45%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.64%EV -7.96%E -4.45%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -6.74%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 00:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.89%EV -8.48%E -4.76%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -16.13%E -4.74%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-23 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -8.99%E -5.08%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.79%E -0.973%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 11:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -8.99%E -5.08%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.47%EV -5.78%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.27%EV -6.01%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 10:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.99%E -5.08%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.26%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 01:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.93%EV -8.99%E -5.08%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -10.33%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.50%E -5.40%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -3.15%E -0.778%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.12%EV -4.78%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 10:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.85%EV -9.50%E -5.40%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -15.11%E -4.26%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -14.89%E -4.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-03 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.85%EV -9.50%E -5.40%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -17.50%E -5.07%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -12.43%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-03 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-04 01:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.49%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.10%EV -10.02%E -5.72%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -15.11%E -4.26%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.20%EV -14.15%E -4.07%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-01 18:47 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -11.05%E -6.39%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.33%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.26%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-02 06:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.33%EV -11.05%E -6.39%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-04 01:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -11.05%E -6.39%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -16.30%E -4.66%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -13.66%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -11.56%E -6.72%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -12.72%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -12.43%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-02 18:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 06:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.56% | 13.4% | 2026-10-05 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.56% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65% | 14.3% | 2026-10-05 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.56% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65% | 14.3% | 2026-10-05 13:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.56% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65% | 14.3% | 2026-10-05 13:51 |