L’École des cotes

Sint Truiden v Union Saint-Gilloise

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 17:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sint Truiden (Local)

Prévision 31.26%3.20cote équitable
EV +3.14%
Avantage +0.953%
Kelly +1.37%
Croissance +0.043%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.29%31.31%31.23%33.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.603.003.003.3038.46%33.31%33.39%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.79%2.58cote équitable
EV +0.089%
Avantage +0.034%
Kelly +0.056%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.56%38.87%38.69%41.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.392.402.5850.00%41.83%41.67%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.95%3.34cote équitable
EV +1.83%
Avantage +0.539%
Kelly +0.763%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.54%29.81%30.08%31.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.063.043.4035.71%32.65%32.89%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36%EV +3.14%E +0.953%K +1.37%G +0.043%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.88%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 17:29
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +3.14%E +0.953%K +1.37%G +0.043%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -9.61%E -4.12%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:22
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV +1.58%E +0.486%K +0.703%G +0.011%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 17:29
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV +1.58%E +0.486%K +0.703%G +0.011%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV +0.018%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:30
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV +0.018%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:29
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV +0.018%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV +0.018%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV +0.018%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Pinnacle3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -1.23%E -0.390%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.90%EV -3.40%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.46%EV -4.76%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 17:29
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.49%EV -1.23%E -0.390%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.23%EV -2.24%E -0.889%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.28%EV -7.75%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 17:30
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.49%EV -1.23%E -0.390%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.23%EV -2.24%E -0.889%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.28%EV -7.75%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -8.06%E -3.40%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -8.06%E -3.40%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 17:29
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 17:30
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 17:30
Suprabets3.09I 32.36%NM 30.22%EV -3.42%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.07%EV -7.28%E -3.05%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:27
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -9.61%E -4.12%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -14.64%E -5.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 17:30
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -9.61%E -4.12%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -14.64%E -5.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -4.98%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.12%E -2.53%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.01%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:29
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.01%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:29
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -2.66%E -0.819%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:29
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 17:29
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 17:29
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 17:29
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 17:29
1xBet2.89I 34.60%NM 33.58%EV -9.67%E -3.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.62%EV +0.089%E +0.034%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.80%EV +0.933%E +0.277%K +0.394%G +0.004%3.0%2026-03-22 17:29
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.98%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.98%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 17:30
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -2.66%E -0.819%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 17:29
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV +1.83%E +0.539%K +0.763%G +0.014%6.8%2026-03-22 17:30
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.16%E -0.353%K -0.506%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:28
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -1.16%E -0.353%K -0.506%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:30
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.55%EV -10.00%E -4.31%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.51%EV -9.25%E -3.05%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 17:29
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -16.14%E -5.76%K -8.97%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-22 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.41%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.18%EV -22.41%E -11.21%K -22.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.41%EV -16.14%E -5.76%K -8.97%G +0.000%21.4%2026-03-22 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -15.61%E -5.78%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 17:30
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -18.74%E -7.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-22 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-03-22 17:30
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.20%1.9%2026-03-22 17:30
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 31.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.36%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.40%11.9%2026-03-22 17:30