La escuela de los momios

Sint Truiden v Union Saint-Gilloise

Inicio: 2026-03-22 17:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sint Truiden (Local)

Predicción 31.26%3.20momio equitativo
EV +3.14%
Ventaja +0.953%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.043%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.29%31.31%31.23%33.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.603.003.003.3038.46%33.31%33.39%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visitante)

Predicción 38.79%2.58momio equitativo
EV +0.089%
Ventaja +0.034%
Kelly +0.056%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.56%38.87%38.69%41.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.392.402.5850.00%41.83%41.67%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.95%3.34momio equitativo
EV +1.83%
Ventaja +0.539%
Kelly +0.763%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.54%29.81%30.08%31.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.063.043.4035.71%32.65%32.89%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36%EV +3.14%E +0.953%K +1.37%G +0.043%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.88%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 17:29
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +3.14%E +0.953%K +1.37%G +0.043%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -9.61%E -4.12%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:22
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV +1.58%E +0.486%K +0.703%G +0.011%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 17:29
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV +1.58%E +0.486%K +0.703%G +0.011%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV +0.018%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:30
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV +0.018%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:29
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV +0.018%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV +0.018%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV +0.018%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -5.73%E -2.36%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:30
Pinnacle3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -1.23%E -0.390%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.90%EV -3.40%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.46%EV -4.76%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 17:29
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.49%EV -1.23%E -0.390%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.23%EV -2.24%E -0.889%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.28%EV -7.75%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 17:30
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.49%EV -1.23%E -0.390%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.23%EV -2.24%E -0.889%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.28%EV -7.75%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -1.54%E -0.490%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -11.65%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -8.06%E -3.40%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -8.06%E -3.40%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 17:29
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 17:30
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 17:30
Suprabets3.09I 32.36%NM 30.22%EV -3.42%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.07%EV -7.28%E -3.05%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:27
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -9.61%E -4.12%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -14.64%E -5.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 17:30
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -9.61%E -4.12%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -14.64%E -5.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -4.98%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.12%E -2.53%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:29
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:29
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.01%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:29
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16%EV -8.73%E -2.99%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.01%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 17:29
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -2.66%E -0.819%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:29
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.66%E -1.80%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:29
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 17:29
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 17:29
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 17:29
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 17:29
1xBet2.89I 34.60%NM 33.58%EV -9.67%E -3.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.62%EV +0.089%E +0.034%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.80%EV +0.933%E +0.277%K +0.394%G +0.004%3.0%2026-03-22 17:29
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.98%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.98%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 17:30
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -10.92%E -3.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -2.66%E -0.819%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 17:29
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV +1.83%E +0.539%K +0.763%G +0.014%6.8%2026-03-22 17:30
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -1.16%E -0.353%K -0.506%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:28
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -1.16%E -0.353%K -0.506%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 17:30
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.55%EV -10.00%E -4.31%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.51%EV -9.25%E -3.05%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 17:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -10.15%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 17:29
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -16.14%E -5.76%K -8.97%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-22 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.41%EV -12.48%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.18%EV -22.41%E -11.21%K -22.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.41%EV -16.14%E -5.76%K -8.97%G +0.000%21.4%2026-03-22 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -15.61%E -5.78%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -4.16%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 17:30
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -18.74%E -7.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.41%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-22 17:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-03-22 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-03-22 17:30
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.20%1.9%2026-03-22 17:30
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 31.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.36%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.40%11.9%2026-03-22 17:30