Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sint Truiden v RAAL La Louvière

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 18:45 UTC

Final: Sint Truiden 4–0 RAAL La Louvière

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sint Truiden (Local)

Prediction 58.01%1.72fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.94%57.95%57.95%59.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.611.6865.36%62.36%62.11%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

RAAL La Louvière (Visit)

Prediction 18.67%5.36fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.199%
Kelly -0.245%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.64%18.61%18.73%19.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.955.005.3022.22%20.20%20.00%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.32%4.29fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.490%
Kelly -0.643%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.48%23.44%23.32%25.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.883.904.2028.17%25.81%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sint Truiden (Local): 58.01%; RAAL La Louvière (Visit): 18.67%; Draw: 23.32%. For RAAL La Louvière (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.30, with an expected value of -1.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -2.54%E -1.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -1.05%E -0.199%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -2.54%E -1.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -1.05%E -0.199%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 11:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -2.54%E -1.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV -1.05%E -0.199%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -4.28%E -2.59%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -4.28%E -2.59%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 11:05
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -4.28%E -2.59%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 11:09
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -4.28%E -2.59%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 11:05
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.62%EV -5.44%E -3.34%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.30%EV -2.55%E -0.488%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.08%EV -3.46%E -0.835%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:30
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.99%EV -5.44%E -3.34%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 05:35
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 16:33
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 12:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 10:00
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -1.05%E -0.199%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 05:35
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -1.05%E -0.199%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 05:35
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 05:35
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.05%E -4.46%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 11:09
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.05%E -4.46%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 11:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -6.02%E -3.72%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.05%E -4.46%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 11:05
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.91%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.35%EV -3.48%E -0.673%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.74%EV -2.76%E -0.661%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 08:15
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.06%E -0.490%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 12:15
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 09:59
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 13:24
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 05:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 05:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.60%E -4.10%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 05:35
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 05:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 05:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 08:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 08:05
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 08:00
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 08:04
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 05:35
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.94%EV -7.18%E -4.49%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -17.22%E -4.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 11:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -7.76%E -4.88%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -4.79%E -0.939%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -5.56%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 12:25
Suprabets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.76%E -4.88%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 05:42
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.05%EV -8.34%E -5.28%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.59%EV -9.46%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -13.72%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.14%EV -8.34%E -5.28%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -12.26%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -17.22%E -4.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.14%EV -8.34%E -5.28%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -12.26%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -17.22%E -4.85%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 11:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -1.05%E -0.199%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 08:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 18:50
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 05:40
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 05:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.75%EV -9.46%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 10:13
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.92%E -5.68%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 05:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -9.50%E -6.09%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -14.12%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 10:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -10.08%E -6.50%K -18.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -12.26%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 10:10
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -10.08%E -6.50%K -18.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-03 05:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -10.66%E -6.92%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 10:10
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -11.24%E -7.35%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 05:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.86%EV -11.24%E -7.35%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -12.26%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -11.39%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 10:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 57.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.09%3.9%2026-09-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%6.7%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%6.7%2026-09-04 14:30
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-09-03 09:10
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 53.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%13.4%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 35.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 11.50%1.08I 92.59%NM 53.23%73.9%2026-09-04 14:30