The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sint Truiden v Leuven

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 15:00 UTC

Final: Sint Truiden 1–2 Leuven

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sint Truiden (Local)

Prediction 56.18%1.78fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -4.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.61%56.24%56.03%58.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.641.651.7265.79%60.87%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leuven (Visit)

Prediction 20.48%4.88fair odd
EV +2.00%
Edge +0.401%
Kelly +0.502%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 4.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.21%20.48%20.54%22.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.514.504.9825.64%22.19%22.22%20.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.34%4.28fair odd
EV +0.364%
Edge +0.085%
Kelly +0.110%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%23.28%23.43%24.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.933.904.3027.03%25.47%25.64%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sint Truiden (Local): 56.18%; Leuven (Visit): 20.48%; Draw: 23.34%. For Leuven (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.88. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.95%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.43%EV +2.00%E +0.401%K +0.502%G +0.010%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.61%EV -0.103%E -0.024%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-01 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.48%EV -3.37%E -1.96%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV +0.358%E +0.073%K +0.092%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -4.30%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-01 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.48%EV -3.37%E -1.96%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV +0.358%E +0.073%K +0.092%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -4.30%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-01 14:30
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.50%EV -8.99%E -5.55%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.21%EV -0.666%E -0.137%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 14:45
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.50%EV -8.99%E -5.55%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.21%EV -0.666%E -0.137%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -7.31%E -4.43%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -1.69%E -0.352%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -1.97%E -0.469%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-01 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -10.11%E -6.32%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -1.69%E -0.352%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.97%E -0.469%K -0.616%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 14:45
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -9.55%E -5.93%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -1.69%E -0.352%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.30%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 14:53
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -9.55%E -5.93%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -1.69%E -0.352%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.30%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -2.71%E -0.571%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.30%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 13:55
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.74%E -0.795%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.74%E -0.795%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 14:30
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.74%E -0.795%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 14:30
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.83%EV -5.06%E -2.99%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.83%EV -5.58%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV +0.364%E +0.085%K +0.110%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 14:55
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 11:04
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.06%E -2.99%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.62%E -3.35%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 14:55
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 14:55
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -6.74%E -4.06%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.77%EV -7.87%E -4.80%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -5.47%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 07:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.50%E -2.65%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 07:59
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.62%E -3.35%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 09:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 09:00
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.31%E -4.43%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 14:25
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.31%E -4.43%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.31%E -4.43%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.31%E -4.43%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.68%EV -7.87%E -4.80%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.68%EV -7.87%E -4.80%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.68%EV -7.87%E -4.80%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -10.11%E -6.32%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.14%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -11.80%E -7.52%K -20.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 14:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -11.80%E -7.52%K -20.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -5.06%E -2.99%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.88%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 09:05
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.43%E -5.17%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.88%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.43%E -5.17%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.88%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -9.55%E -5.93%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -9.88%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.64%E -3.69%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -9.55%E -5.93%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -9.88%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.64%E -3.69%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -9.55%E -5.93%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -9.88%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.64%E -3.69%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -10.11%E -6.32%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -10.91%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -13.64%E -3.69%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 14:30
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -11.32%E -2.61%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 09:05
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.11%E -6.32%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.32%E -2.61%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 14:23
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.39%EV -12.36%E -7.92%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -11.93%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-01 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.96%EV -3.93%E -2.30%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -12.96%E -3.05%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.30%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.96%EV -3.93%E -2.30%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -12.96%E -3.05%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.30%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 15:25
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.96%EV -3.93%E -2.30%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -12.96%E -3.05%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.30%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 15:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.79%EV -11.80%E -7.52%K -20.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -13.98%E -3.33%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-01 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -7.87%E -4.80%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -16.03%E -3.91%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 07:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.19%EV -10.68%E -6.71%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -16.03%E -3.91%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-01 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 56.30%EV -14.61%E -9.61%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.87%EV -16.03%E -3.91%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-01 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -8.99%E -5.55%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -18.08%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-01 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 54.92%EV -11.24%E -7.11%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.25%EV -20.12%E -5.16%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%15.2%2026-11-01 07:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-11-01 14:55
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-11-01 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-11-01 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-11-01 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.06%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-11-01 14:45
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%2.2%2026-11-01 14:10

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