Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sint Truiden v KV Mechelen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Score final : Sint Truiden 3–0 KV Mechelen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sint Truiden (Local)

Prévision 50.88%1.97cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -3.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.02%50.93%50.95%52.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.721.821.821.9158.14%55.00%54.95%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

KV Mechelen (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.78%3.88cote équitable
EV +0.557%
Avantage +0.143%
Kelly +0.192%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.62%25.74%25.75%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.603.603.9030.30%27.77%27.78%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.34%4.29cote équitable
EV +4.08%
Avantage +0.916%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.048%

avec la cote maximale 4.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.57%23.33%23.30%26.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.883.904.4632.26%25.74%25.64%22.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sint Truiden (Local) : 50.88% ; KV Mechelen (Visiteur) : 25.78% ; Match nul : 23.34%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.29. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.46, soit une espérance positive de +4.08%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.16%EV -5.37%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.08%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.75%EV +4.08%E +0.916%K +1.18%G +0.048%3.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV +1.52%E +0.349%K +0.453%G +0.007%6.6%2026-05-24 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV +1.52%E +0.349%K +0.453%G +0.007%6.6%2026-05-24 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.33%EV -0.584%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Suprabets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -1.98%E -0.472%K -0.620%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:18
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -9.94%E -5.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.81%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -3.15%E -0.759%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.97%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.97%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.97%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.10%EV -3.84%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV +0.557%E +0.143%K +0.192%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 16:20
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -2.02%E -0.532%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:19
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -2.02%E -0.532%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:19
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:20
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 16:20
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.80%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 16:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -11.98%E -6.92%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 16:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%EV +0.557%E +0.143%K +0.192%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -6.38%E -3.47%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.71%EV -12.49%E -7.26%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.99%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 16:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.99%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.99%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.99%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.75%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -13.62%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -8.99%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -10.15%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.93%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.73%EV -10.62%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 16:16
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -2.02%E -0.532%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -2.02%E -0.532%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:19
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -8.93%E -4.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:18
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -13.65%E -3.69%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.65%E -3.69%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -14.82%E -4.06%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 16:20
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.82%E -4.06%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 16:18
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -14.82%E -4.06%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -15.99%E -4.44%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -15.99%E -4.44%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -15.99%E -4.44%K -6.15%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-24 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.75%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -17.15%E -4.83%K -6.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.99%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.36%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -17.15%E -4.83%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-24 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.68%EV -10.45%E -5.94%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -18.32%E -5.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 48.02%EV -11.98%E -6.92%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.18%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.80%EV -27.65%E -8.92%K -13.17%G +0.000%20.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 52.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.97%0.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%2.7%2026-05-24 16:20