La escuela de los momios

Sint Truiden v KV Mechelen

Inicio: 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Final: Sint Truiden 3–0 KV Mechelen

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sint Truiden (Local)

Predicción 50.88%1.97momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -3.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.02%50.93%50.95%52.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.821.821.9158.14%55.00%54.95%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

KV Mechelen (Visitante)

Predicción 25.78%3.88momio equitativo
EV +0.557%
Ventaja +0.143%
Kelly +0.192%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.62%25.74%25.75%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.603.603.9030.30%27.77%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.34%4.29momio equitativo
EV +4.08%
Ventaja +0.916%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.048%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.57%23.33%23.30%26.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.883.904.4632.26%25.74%25.64%22.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.16%EV -5.37%E -2.88%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.08%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.75%EV +4.08%E +0.916%K +1.18%G +0.048%3.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV +1.52%E +0.349%K +0.453%G +0.007%6.6%2026-05-24 16:20
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV +1.52%E +0.349%K +0.453%G +0.007%6.6%2026-05-24 16:20
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.33%EV -0.584%E -0.137%K -0.179%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Suprabets1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -1.98%E -0.472%K -0.620%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 16:18
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -9.94%E -5.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.81%EV -3.05%E -0.812%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -3.15%E -0.759%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:20
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.97%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.97%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 16:20
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 51.97%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 16:20
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:19
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.10%EV -3.84%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV +0.557%E +0.143%K +0.192%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 16:20
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -2.02%E -0.532%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:19
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -2.02%E -0.532%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:19
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:20
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 16:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 16:20
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 16:20
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.80%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 16:20
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -11.98%E -6.92%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 16:19
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%EV +0.557%E +0.143%K +0.192%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -6.38%E -3.47%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.71%EV -12.49%E -7.26%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.99%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 16:19
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.99%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 16:20
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.99%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.99%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.75%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -13.62%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -8.99%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.74%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -10.15%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.93%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.73%EV -10.62%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 16:16
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -2.02%E -0.532%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -2.02%E -0.532%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:19
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -8.93%E -4.99%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 16:20
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:18
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -13.65%E -3.69%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 16:20
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.65%E -3.69%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -14.82%E -4.06%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 16:20
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -14.82%E -4.06%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 16:18
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -14.82%E -4.06%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -15.99%E -4.44%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -15.99%E -4.44%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 16:20
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -15.99%E -4.44%K -6.15%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-24 16:20
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.75%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -17.15%E -4.83%K -6.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.99%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.36%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -17.15%E -4.83%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-24 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 49.68%EV -10.45%E -5.94%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -18.32%E -5.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.02%EV -11.98%E -6.92%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.18%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.80%EV -27.65%E -8.92%K -13.17%G +0.000%20.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 52.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.97%0.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%2.7%2026-05-24 16:20