La escuela de los momios

Sint Truiden v Gent

Inicio: 2026-05-16 18:49 UTC

Final: Sint Truiden 1–1 Gent

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sint Truiden (Local)

Predicción 45.26%2.21momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.821%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.13%45.35%45.28%47.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.022.052.1753.48%49.47%48.78%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gent (Visitante)

Predicción 29.33%3.41momio equitativo
EV +7.05%
Ventaja +1.93%
Kelly +2.66%
Crecimiento +0.188%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.58%29.29%29.30%30.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.223.203.6535.71%31.07%31.25%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.41%3.94momio equitativo
EV -0.904%
Ventaja -0.232%
Kelly -0.312%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.43%25.36%25.42%27.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.573.603.9033.33%28.02%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55%EV -7.67%E -3.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV +7.05%E +1.93%K +2.66%G +0.188%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 18:45
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55%EV -7.67%E -3.76%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV +7.05%E +1.93%K +2.66%G +0.188%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 18:45
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -10.83%E -5.50%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV +2.65%E +0.758%K +1.06%G +0.028%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 18:45
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -10.83%E -5.50%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV +2.65%E +0.758%K +1.06%G +0.028%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 18:45
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -10.83%E -5.50%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV +2.65%E +0.758%K +1.06%G +0.028%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 18:45
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 47.34%EV -11.29%E -5.76%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV +1.19%E +0.344%K +0.484%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 18:42
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -12.19%E -6.28%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -0.281%E -0.083%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 18:45
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.42%EV -3.59%E -1.69%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.71%EV -1.16%E -0.344%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.87%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 18:44
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -12.65%E -6.55%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -1.75%E -0.522%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 18:45
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -12.65%E -6.55%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -1.75%E -0.522%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 18:45
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -12.65%E -6.55%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -1.75%E -0.522%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 18:45
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.21%E -0.974%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -13.55%E -7.09%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -3.21%E -0.974%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 18:45
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -14.91%E -7.93%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -3.21%E -0.974%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 18:45
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.75%EV -1.78%E -0.821%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.70%EV -4.09%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -3.45%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 18:44
Suprabets2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -6.31%E -3.05%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -4.68%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 18:35
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -6.76%E -3.28%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -4.68%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -9.04%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:44
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 46.87%EV -15.36%E -8.21%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -4.68%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -14.88%E -4.44%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 18:45
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 46.87%EV -15.36%E -8.21%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -4.68%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -14.88%E -4.44%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 18:45
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 18:44
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 18:45
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 18:45
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:44
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:42
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 18:45
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 18:45
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 18:44
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -5.86%E -2.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -5.86%E -2.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 18:45
BetAnything2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -5.86%E -2.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 18:44
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.45%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 18:45
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 18:44
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 18:43
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 18:44
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.15%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 18:44
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -7.61%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 18:45
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.95%E -2.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 18:43
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.86%E -2.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 18:44
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 18:44
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.59%EV -10.38%E -5.24%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -0.904%E -0.232%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 18:45
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.21%E -3.52%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 18:44
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.08%E -2.93%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 18:44
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.04%EV -8.57%E -4.24%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.54%EV -9.67%E -3.14%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -9.04%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 18:44
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.56%EV -11.29%E -5.76%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -10.55%E -3.46%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 18:43
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.98%EV -10.38%E -5.24%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -10.55%E -3.46%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 18:43
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -5.86%E -2.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 18:45
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.50%EV -12.19%E -6.28%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -2.17%E -0.565%K -0.763%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 18:45
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -11.74%E -6.02%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-16 18:45
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -9.48%E -4.74%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -16.15%E -4.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 18:45
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -11.74%E -6.02%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.01%E -4.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -16.15%E -4.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -13.55%E -7.09%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -17.88%E -6.39%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -23.77%E -7.92%K -11.89%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-16 18:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-16 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-16 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-16 18:45
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-05-16 18:45
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%1.6%2026-05-16 18:45
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 45.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.58%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%2.9%2026-05-16 18:45