The School of Odds

Royal Antwerp v Waasland-Beveren

2026-08-09 17:15 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -57.14%
Kelly -133.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.11%0.00%0.00%54.98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.651.7562%60%61%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Waasland-Beveren (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -21.05%
Kelly -26.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.10%0.00%0.00%19.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.604.674.674.7522%21%21%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -28.57%
Kelly -40.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.92%0.00%0.00%28.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.413.453.5031%29%29%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%9.7%2026-07-14 19:04
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%10.2%2026-07-14 18:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%10.2%2026-07-14 18:19
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%12.9%2026-07-14 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 53.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.07%17.3%2026-07-14 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:20