Language:English
Royal Antwerp v Union Saint-Gilloise
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Royal Antwerp (Local)
Prediction 17.49%5.72fair odd
EV +3.01%
Edge +0.512%
Kelly +0.616%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 5.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.29%17.45%17.37%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.335.305.8921.28%18.75%18.87%16.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit)
Prediction 60.81%1.64fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -7.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.91%60.82%61.01%62.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.531.531.5768.49%65.57%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.70%4.61fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.229%
Kelly -0.293%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.54%21.72%21.63%23.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.194.204.5626.32%23.87%23.81%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Royal Antwerp (Local): 17.49%; Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit): 60.81%; Draw: 21.70%. For Royal Antwerp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.72. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.35%EV +3.01%E +0.512%K +0.616%G +0.019% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -4.53%E -2.89%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.30%EV -6.25%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.48%EV +1.44%E +0.248%K +0.300%G +0.004% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.28%EV -5.14%E -3.29%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -6.68%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.48%EV +1.44%E +0.248%K +0.300%G +0.004% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.28%EV -5.14%E -3.29%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -6.68%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.48%EV +1.44%E +0.248%K +0.300%G +0.004% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.28%EV -5.14%E -3.29%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -6.68%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +0.566%E +0.098%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -5.75%E -3.71%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +0.566%E +0.098%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -5.75%E -3.71%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +0.566%E +0.098%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.51%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 11:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV +0.566%E +0.098%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.51%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 11:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -0.309%E -0.054%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.40%EV -7.57%E -4.98%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -2.06%E -0.367%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -6.35%E -4.13%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -2.06%E -0.367%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -6.35%E -4.13%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -2.06%E -0.367%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -6.35%E -4.13%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -2.06%E -0.367%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -6.35%E -4.13%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.27%EV -3.11%E -0.561%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.74%EV -5.75%E -3.71%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.99%EV -1.04%E -0.229%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -3.81%E -0.692%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -5.14%E -3.29%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -6.68%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 10:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -3.81%E -0.692%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -6.35%E -4.13%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.51%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 10:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.81%E -0.692%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -7.57%E -4.98%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -2.34%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.81%E -0.692%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -7.57%E -4.98%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.51%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -3.81%E -0.692%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -6.35%E -4.13%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 11:07 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.07%EV -4.68%E -0.859%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.79%EV -6.96%E -4.55%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -5.56%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.14%E -3.29%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -5.56%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.14%E -3.29%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -5.56%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.14%E -3.29%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -7.30%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.03%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 10:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -7.30%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.14%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -14.28%E -3.62%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -7.30%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.14%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -14.28%E -3.62%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -7.30%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.14%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -14.28%E -3.62%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -5.75%E -3.71%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.34%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 10:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -6.35%E -4.13%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -2.34%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 10:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -6.35%E -4.13%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -2.34%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 10:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -5.75%E -3.71%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.51%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 10:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.35%E -4.13%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.51%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -7.57%E -4.98%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.34%E -0.521%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.57%E -4.98%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.45%E -4.27%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.04%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.03%EV -9.39%E -6.30%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.37%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.04%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.03%EV -9.39%E -6.30%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.37%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.04%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.03%EV -9.39%E -6.30%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.37%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -9.05%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -5.75%E -3.71%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -4.51%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 10:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -9.05%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -5.75%E -3.71%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.68%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.93%EV -9.05%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -10.61%E -7.22%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -17.54%E -4.61%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.75%E -3.71%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 10:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.96%E -4.55%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 10:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.96%E -4.55%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.96%E -4.55%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 10:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-20 10:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 11:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.29%EV -11.22%E -7.68%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -6.68%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 11:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.55%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.37%E -3.94%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-20 11:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.26%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -10.00%E -6.76%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -8.86%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 11:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.06%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.81%EV -10.00%E -6.76%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -13.20%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -16.05%E -3.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -4.51%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 10:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -17.80%E -3.79%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -4.51%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 10:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.86% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.35% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34% | 1.7% | 2026-09-20 11:10 |