L’École des cotes

Royal Antwerp v Standard Liege

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Prévision 41.11%2.43cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.56%41.12%41.22%43.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.252.3547.62%44.70%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Standard Liege (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.81%3.60cote équitable
EV +3.17%
Avantage +0.855%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.037%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.08%27.84%27.70%29.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.373.403.7134.72%29.71%29.41%26.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.08%3.22cote équitable
EV -0.534%
Avantage -0.167%
Kelly -0.243%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.72%31.04%31.08%32.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.993.003.2038.02%33.43%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.66%EV -6.68%E -2.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.10%EV +3.17%E +0.855%K +1.17%G +0.037%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 14:55
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -5.04%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV +2.89%E +0.782%K +1.07%G +0.031%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 14:55
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -5.04%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV +2.89%E +0.782%K +1.07%G +0.031%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 14:55
BetAnything2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -5.04%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV +2.89%E +0.782%K +1.07%G +0.031%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 14:55
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.18%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV +0.946%E +0.260%K +0.360%G +0.003%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -6.44%E -2.14%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 14:55
Suprabets2.27I 44.05%NM 41.16%EV -6.68%E -2.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.62%EV -2.39%E -0.681%K -0.953%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:32
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -0.534%E -0.167%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 14:55
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -0.534%E -0.167%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 14:55
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.64%EV -8.33%E -3.73%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -2.09%E -0.663%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:55
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.64%EV -8.33%E -3.73%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -2.09%E -0.663%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:55
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.31%E -2.82%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:35
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 14:35
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.11%EV -6.68%E -2.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -3.23%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.07%EV -9.55%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 14:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 14:54
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -2.09%E -0.663%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 14:55
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -2.09%E -0.663%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 14:55
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -2.09%E -0.663%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 14:55
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -10.80%E -4.97%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.09%E -0.663%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 14:40
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 14:35
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.24%EV -9.24%E -3.16%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 14:45
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.24%EV -9.24%E -3.16%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 14:30
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 14:35
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 14:55
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.38%E -4.76%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 14:55
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.38%E -4.76%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 14:55
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.38%E -4.76%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.67%EV -11.21%E -5.19%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.20%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 14:55
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.48%E -3.64%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:40
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.48%E -3.64%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:45
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.48%E -3.64%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:40
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.48%E -3.64%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 14:10
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 14:08
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 14:10
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 14:09
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 14:35
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 14:35
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -13.67%E -6.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 14:55
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -13.67%E -6.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 14:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -14.52%E -5.28%K -8.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 14:40
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -14.52%E -5.28%K -8.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.20%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:10
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -16.08%E -5.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 14:40
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:30
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:30
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:30
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.59%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -13.24%E -4.24%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 14:33
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 14:30
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 14:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -11.41%E -4.00%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 14:35
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -11.41%E -4.00%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 14:55
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.57%E -5.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -13.67%E -6.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -19.91%E -6.91%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -18.25%E -6.94%K -11.20%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-15 14:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65%0.4%2026-03-15 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%0.8%2026-03-15 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%0.8%2026-03-15 14:45
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%1.0%2026-03-15 14:55
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%1.1%2026-03-15 14:45
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.0%2026-03-15 14:45