La escuela de los momiosRoyal Antwerp v Standard Liege
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Royal Antwerp (Local)
Predicción 41.11%2.43momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.56%41.12%41.22%43.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.252.3547.62%44.70%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Standard Liege (Visitante)
Predicción 27.81%3.60momio equitativo
EV +3.17%
Ventaja +0.855%
Kelly +1.17%
Crecimiento +0.037%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.08%27.84%27.70%29.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.373.403.7134.72%29.71%29.41%26.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.08%3.22momio equitativo
EV -0.534%
Ventaja -0.167%
Kelly -0.243%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.72%31.04%31.08%32.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.993.003.2038.02%33.43%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.66%EV -6.68%E -2.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.10%EV +3.17%E +0.855%K +1.17%G +0.037% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -5.04%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV +2.89%E +0.782%K +1.07%G +0.031% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -5.04%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV +2.89%E +0.782%K +1.07%G +0.031% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -5.04%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV +2.89%E +0.782%K +1.07%G +0.031% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.18%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV +0.946%E +0.260%K +0.360%G +0.003% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -6.44%E -2.14%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Suprabets | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.16%EV -6.68%E -2.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.62%EV -2.39%E -0.681%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 14:32 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -0.534%E -0.167%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -0.534%E -0.167%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.64%EV -8.33%E -3.73%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -2.09%E -0.663%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.64%EV -8.33%E -3.73%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -2.09%E -0.663%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.31%E -2.82%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.11%EV -6.68%E -2.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -3.23%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.07%EV -9.55%E -3.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 14:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -2.09%E -0.663%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -2.09%E -0.663%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -2.09%E -0.663%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -10.80%E -4.97%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.09%E -0.663%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.24%EV -9.24%E -3.16%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.24%EV -9.24%E -3.16%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.38%E -4.76%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.38%E -4.76%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.38%E -4.76%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.00%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.67%EV -11.21%E -5.19%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.20%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.48%E -3.64%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.48%E -3.64%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.48%E -3.64%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.48%E -3.64%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 14:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 14:08 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 14:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 14:09 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -13.67%E -6.51%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -13.67%E -6.51%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -14.52%E -5.28%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -14.52%E -5.28%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -5.20%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 14:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -16.08%E -5.95%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-15 14:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.59%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -13.24%E -4.24%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 14:33 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.75%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 14:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -11.41%E -4.00%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -11.41%E -4.00%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -16.57%E -5.52%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-15 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -13.67%E -6.51%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -19.91%E -6.91%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -18.25%E -6.94%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-15 14:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.65% | 0.4% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 14:45 |