The School of Odds
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Royal Antwerp v Charleroi

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:01 UTC

Final: Royal Antwerp 3–0 Charleroi

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Royal Antwerp (Local)

Prediction 26.09%3.83fair odd
EV +4.35%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.063%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.32%26.10%26.21%28.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.604.0030.30%27.94%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charleroi (Visit)

Prediction 47.82%2.09fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.964%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.92%47.91%47.71%50.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.921.932.0555.87%52.07%51.81%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.10%3.83fair odd
EV +4.39%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.064%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.03%25.99%26.08%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.533.554.0031.75%28.29%28.17%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Royal Antwerp (Local): 26.09%; Charleroi (Visit): 47.82%; Draw: 26.10%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -2.17%E -0.580%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.33%EV -8.67%E -4.54%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV +4.39%E +1.10%K +1.46%G +0.064%4.0%2026-10-24 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV +4.35%E +1.09%K +1.45%G +0.063%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.41%EV -7.71%E -4.00%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV +0.472%E +0.123%K +0.166%G +0.001%2.8%2026-10-24 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV +4.35%E +1.09%K +1.45%G +0.063%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.41%EV -7.71%E -4.00%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV +0.472%E +0.123%K +0.166%G +0.001%2.8%2026-10-24 14:00
Pinnacle🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.96%EV -6.35%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.22%EV -1.98%E -0.964%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -2.14%E -0.570%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.48%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.44%E -0.930%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.17%E -0.580%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -10.58%E -5.66%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.44%E -0.930%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 14:00
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.17%E -0.580%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -10.58%E -5.66%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.44%E -0.930%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 14:00
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.17%E -0.580%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -10.58%E -5.66%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.44%E -0.930%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 14:00
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.44%E -0.930%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.96%EV -9.15%E -4.81%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.56%EV -5.01%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 13:34
1xBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV +1.74%E +0.446%K +0.599%G +0.010%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.72%EV -5.80%E -2.94%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 13:45
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 13:45
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 13:45
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 13:40
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.71%E -4.00%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.67%E -4.54%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 13:40
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -12.50%E -6.83%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.70%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -3.41%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.70%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -3.41%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:45
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.70%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -3.41%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:44
BetAnything🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.70%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -3.41%E -1.69%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -7.24%E -3.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 13:45
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -12.50%E -6.83%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -12.50%E -6.83%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 14:00
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -12.50%E -6.83%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 14:00
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -12.50%E -6.83%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -7.36%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 13:45
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.48%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 14:00
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.48%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.70%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 13:45
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.70%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.15%E -4.81%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -13.45%E -7.43%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -13.45%E -7.43%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -13.45%E -7.43%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 13:45
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -13.93%E -7.74%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 13:39
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:55
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25%EV -5.32%E -2.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.91%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -9.15%E -4.81%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.43%EV -14.41%E -8.05%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-24 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.34%EV -12.50%E -6.83%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-24 13:59
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.70%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.27%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.70%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.27%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.70%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.76%E -3.47%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.27%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 13:35
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -7.71%E -4.00%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.27%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 13:45
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.67%E -4.54%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.27%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 13:45
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.70%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -4.37%E -2.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 14:00
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.67%E -4.54%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.85%EV -9.15%E -4.81%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-24 13:45
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.06%EV -10.58%E -5.66%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-24 13:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 26.32%EV -13.13%E -3.94%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.12%EV -11.06%E -5.95%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-24 13:43
Unibet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.09%EV -11.54%E -6.24%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.66%EV -17.80%E -5.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-24 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.90%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-10-24 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-10-24 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-10-24 14:00
Matchbook◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-10-24 14:00
Smarkets◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-10-24 14:00
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-10-24 14:00