L’École des cotes

RAAL La Louvière v Dender

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

RAAL La Louvière (Local)

Prévision 49.73%2.01cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -3.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.05%49.75%49.67%51.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.861.861.9557.80%53.70%53.76%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dender (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.03%4.34cote équitable
EV +5.23%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.077%

avec la cote maximale 4.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.23%22.98%23.08%24.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.084.054.5727.78%24.53%24.69%21.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.25%3.67cote équitable
EV -3.28%
Avantage -0.924%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.69%27.27%27.25%28.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.373.403.5534.72%29.69%29.41%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.06%EV -5.51%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.23%EV +5.23%E +1.14%K +1.46%G +0.077%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-06 13:55
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%EV -4.02%E -2.08%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%EV +0.163%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%EV -4.02%E -2.08%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%EV +0.163%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.58%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV +0.163%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -3.28%E -0.924%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%EV -6.01%E -3.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -0.989%E -0.230%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%EV -6.01%E -3.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -0.989%E -0.230%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 13:55
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.12%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -2.14%E -0.503%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:50
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.12%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -2.14%E -0.503%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:50
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.12%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -2.14%E -0.503%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:50
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -2.14%E -0.503%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:30
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.44%EV -6.01%E -3.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.28%E -0.924%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 13:45
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.44%EV -6.01%E -3.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.28%E -0.924%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 13:44
Suprabets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.29%EV -7.50%E -4.03%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.43%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:46
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.68%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:55
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.05%EV -7.50%E -4.03%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:55
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:50
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:55
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:49
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -6.00%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 08:00
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:52
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:55
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:48
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:50
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -9.49%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:55
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.97%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -6.74%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:45
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.97%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -6.74%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 05:59
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 08:40
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 07:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 05:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 05:05
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 08:25
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 07:29
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 08:39
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 20:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 20:15
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 20:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 20:15
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 05:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 13:55
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 13:55
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 13:50
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.18%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-06 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.43%EV -9.55%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:33
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.28%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -12.82%E -4.00%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-06 13:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.67%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -15.54%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-06 13:55
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.35%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 13:45
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.02%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 08:00
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -14.80%E -4.00%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -13.97%E -8.07%K -19.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -17.11%E -4.75%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -21.53%E -7.48%K -11.45%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-06 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-06 13:55
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-04-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.45%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.43%2.7%2026-04-06 13:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-04-06 13:45